2025-12-22 21:20:14

#数字资产市场洞察 Beware: What is the truth behind the Rebound?

Recently, a wave of increase in ADA has attracted a lot of attention, but a closer look at the charts reveals several issues:

**The Real Situation of the Technical Aspects**

Prices are still suppressed by all key long-term moving averages, and the overall bearish pattern has not changed at all. From a cyclical perspective, what is hidden behind a rise of about 4%? Such rapid surges are often meant to trigger more short liquidations (data shows that the scale of short liquidations is 2.3 times that of longs), and then create a false signal of "rebound is imminent."

**The Real Situation of Retail Investors**

According to on-chain data, about 60% of retail investors have changed their attitude during this rebound, shifting from bearish to bullish. This timing is somewhat "just right"—it coincides perfectly with the optimal moment for the main players to position themselves. The most dangerous time during a downtrend is the moment you start to believe that the reversal is really here.

**The Logic Chain of the Main Force**

Pull up to let retail investors take over → After acquiring chips, continue to dump → Cycle. This routine is repeatedly performed in a bear market.

**If we continue to look in this direction**

A rebound itself is an opportunity to short. The technical target is initially set at 0.335; if it breaks down, then look at 0.30. In short: any rebound in a bear market is just to better continue the downward trend.

Logic is greater than luck.

ADA-2.11%

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BearMarketHustler

· 7h ago

It's the same pattern again. A wave of buying in, and then someone jumps on board. I don't believe there are still people who haven't been trapped a few times. See you at 0.335.

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GasBankrupter

· 12-23 07:17

Is this the same old story again? Retail investors really need to be cautious about catching a falling knife, as the timing of the 60% shift to bullish is too strange.

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ContractTearjerker

· 12-22 21:50

It's the same old trick of a false Rebound, and retail investors are still foolishly catching a falling knife.

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MetaEggplant

· 12-22 21:47

Here we go again, the fate of retail investors as dumb buyers... Every time there's a rebound, it's said to be a market maker trap, it's really a bit exhausting.

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ChainMaskedRider

· 12-22 21:46

Another wave of Rebound for Be Played for Suckers, with 60% retail investors catching a falling knife is really incredible... I've seen this trick too many times.

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HypotheticalLiquidator

· 12-22 21:44

It's the old trick of pumping and getting liquidated again. The moment 60% of retail investors catch a falling knife is the most dangerous moment, with the liquidation price right there.

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WhaleWatcher

· 12-22 21:44

It's the same old trick again; when 60% of retail investors turn bullish, it's time to run. The market maker's script is already worn out.

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OptionWhisperer

· 12-22 21:39

Another one of these? Market makers pump while retail investors take over, a classic script. I believe in the 60% Reverse Indicator, a Rebound is just a gift for short orders.

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