#数字资产市场洞察 BTC midday divergence: fell from 88900 to 87100, what will happen next

The current trend is quite typical - BTC has fallen from an intraday high of 88904.9, with consecutive bearish hourly candles, reaching a low of 86976.6, and now it's hovering around 87100.7. In the short term, this wave of bearish momentum is quite strong.

**How to view key positions**

87000 is a hurdle. This integer level is currently the lower iron gate, and whether it can hold directly determines whether we continue to fall or see a small rebound. If it breaks here, 86500 or even 86000 could be tested. Conversely, upwards, 87500 and 88000 are the real pressure zones – from a technical perspective, the moving average system has already fallen into a bearish arrangement, so even if there is a rebound, the height will be limited.

**What is being said about the trading volume**

During the fall process, the bearish candlestick body is expanding. What does this indicate? It indicates that someone is desperately selling. The willingness to sell is very strong, and panic emotions are rising. This type of trading characteristic usually lasts for a while.

**How to play in the afternoon session**

The most likely scenario is: BTC will first fluctuate between 87000 and 87500, which is a weak consolidation. Either it won't hold 87000 and will directly test the range below 87000; or it will rebound but get stuck at 87500-88000 and won't be able to turn back.

Of course, if there suddenly comes some macro stimulus or changes in the liquidity, it is not impossible for a rebound to reach 88000 or even 89000. But that being said, from a technical perspective, there is fundamentally no reason to support such a rebound, and the probability is low.

**Different Traders' Choices**

For those trading short-term: Don't chase the shorts, this is not a good opportunity. Wait to see if the position can stabilize at 87000, only consider taking action once it has stabilized. If the price rebounds to the resistance area of 87500-88000, a light short position can be tested, but make sure to set a stop-loss.

Medium to long-term players: Don't mess around now. Just wait and see, get in after the downward momentum shows clear signs of weakening, or a clear reversal signal appears; this way, the success rate is higher.

**Last thing to say**

Cryptocurrencies are inherently volatile. This analysis only considers the technical aspects; actual decisions must also take into account macroeconomic conditions and factors like capital flows. Risk management is the top priority, with no room for negotiation.

$BTC