Going long results in a fall, while shorting leads to a rise — this feeling is experienced by almost every trader. But is the market really targeting you? Not really. The root of the problem often points to the same answer: you are placing orders based on feelings.

Without a trading plan, without clear capital boundaries, entering positions based on impulse and exiting based on emotions. In this state, losing money is just a matter of time, not a matter of probability.

What does truly stable trading look like? The first element is capital division. Don't risk all your principal at once. Divide your funds into several parts, and only invest a small portion each time. The benefits of doing so are obvious - if the direction is judged incorrectly, the losses are controlled within a manageable range. Even if you make a few mistakes in a row, the account can still survive. This is called having hope as long as you are alive.

The second factor is that stop-loss and take-profit must be set in advance. Don't wait until the losses have increased to think about a stop-loss, and don't regret not having a take-profit when the profits are given back. If you're wrong, get out; if you're right, hold on. Doing this can effectively prevent small losses from becoming big losses, and it can also protect existing gains from being eroded.

The core of the win rate is actually hidden in two words: follow the trend. It sounds simple, but it tests human nature when put into practice. In a falling market, sudden rebounds are mostly traps—weak rebounds that entice people to catch the falling knife. In contrast, pullbacks in an upward trend are safer because the overall direction remains intact. Rather than exhausting yourself trying to guess where the bottom is, it's better to patiently wait for a clear pullback opportunity.

There is another common operational misconception worth mentioning. Coins that have just skyrocketed should generally be avoided. What does a significant short-term rise indicate? It means that there is limited room for further upward movement. Additionally, a stagnation phenomenon often occurs at high levels, which in itself is a risk signal. History tells us that chasing highs often leads to unfavorable outcomes.

How to use technical indicators? Many people get it wrong. Indicators are not used to predict the future, but to confirm the present. The right time to consider participating is when the trend starts to strengthen from below. Conversely, when the trend shows signs of weakening from above, it's time to hold back.

Trading volume is always worth paying attention to. What is it? It is the most intuitive reflection of the capital's attitude. A breakout with high volume at a low level should be noted, as it may indicate new upward momentum. However, if there is high volume at a high level but no price movement, caution is warranted, as it may indicate that the market makers are unloading.

The final advice is to only trade trends that you understand. You should distinguish between short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends. Don't switch between being a long-term investor and a gambler. This identity switching can lead to confusion in decision-making. Regularly reviewing your trades is more important than making a few more trades because from the review, you can see your patterns and vulnerabilities. If the direction changes, adjust your strategy. If the logic fails, exit decisively.

Ultimately, contract trading is not about whose courage is greater, but about who is more stable and can survive longer. This is the true rule of the game.