Recently, there has been quite a bit of fluctuation in the market, and the short-term hourly rebound has attracted the attention of many investors. However, before following the trend, it's important to clarify one question - what exactly is this rebound?

In simple terms, this is a technical recovery after a significant drop. Although it seems quite tempting, the core issue is that the bearish tone at the daily level has not changed. Being greedy to participate can easily amplify the risks. If you want to seize short-term opportunities, you must first recognize this reality.

From the perspective of market operation logic, any real trend formation requires time and capital to lay the groundwork. What about short-term hourly rebounds? Most of them are the result of early profit-taking and some bottom-fishing capital testing the waters, a collision of two forces. After a rapid decline in price within a short period, the varieties that have been mistakenly sold off will indeed have opportunities for valuation recovery, which creates the rebounds we observe.

Where is the problem? Such fixes are often fleeting. Why? Because they do not change the fundamentals of the market. The daily chart still shows a bearish dominance, with weak macro data, policy adjustments, and tight liquidity—these core issues remain unresolved, and the mid-term trend cannot fundamentally turn around. The hourly Rebound under these pressures will eventually be brought down.

So how should we operate? The core principle is eight words: follow the trend and take profits when it's good. Don't be greedy, and don't chase highs. Specifically, the target level for a Rebound should be calculated in advance, and the stop-loss level must also be set firmly, so as not to let emotions dictate decisions. This is how one can survive in short-term fluctuations.