In the prediction market, the probability of Bitcoin falling below $80,000 in the remaining days of December is only 16%. Traders are putting real money on the line, anchoring Bitcoin's year-end price in the $90,000 range.


On Christmas Eve, data from the prediction market platform Polymarket shows that traders believe the probability of Bitcoin falling below $80,000 in December is only 16%, with an even lower 5% chance of dropping below $75,000.
Meanwhile, the probability of Bitcoin breaking the $100,000 mark before the end of the year is also only 5%. These figures paint a clear market picture: in the few days remaining in 2025, the most likely trend for Bitcoin is to oscillate within the current price range.
BTC-0,85%
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