2025-12-26 10:24:54

After the holiday, market trading is subdued, whales are watching, but some are starting to move at this time.

On December 26th, veteran trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio's latest views flooded social media. He candidly stated that he has begun building long positions in Bitcoin and some small-cap coins.

Why choose this moment? The reason is simple and hardcore — the market is currently in a typical holiday mode. Investors are scattered, trading volume has sharply shrunk, and the order book has become so thin that just a few large buy orders can push the price upward. This sounds risky, but from another perspective, it’s precisely the time when risk-reward asymmetry is at its greatest.

How exactly does he operate? Eugene’s approach is very clear. He is positioning below $90,000, setting stop-losses, with a target of $100,000. Bitcoin is currently showing resilience around $84,000, without effectively breaking down, which gives him a reason to enter. His logic is: rather than waiting until $95,000 or $100,000 and missing out due to hesitation, it’s better to test the waters now with controlled risk.

There’s also a detail worth noting. Eugene mentioned seasonal factors. Historically, January tends to be a month of increased volatility. In other words, the quietness in December might just be the calm before the storm. This aligns with his judgment from a week ago — he believed most altcoins were nearing the end of their decline.

So how should we interpret this move? The market has entered a liquidity drought due to the holiday. Once large funds enter, prices could be "surged" upward suddenly. Eugene’s move isn’t based on a strong bull market conviction but is simply taking advantage of favorable conditions given by market microstructure.

What are the key words? Risk control and stop-loss discipline. Without these two, any strategy is just guesswork. When the market is quiet, it’s often the window for the next wave of行情, but the prerequisite is that you survive to see that moment.

BTC-2,36%

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RugpullTherapist

· 12-29 07:53

Alright, so this is a game of betting on liquidity, to be honest. Eugene's move is basically betting on the thin order book, but I always feel something's off... Can stop-loss really be executed? Actually, the January market is indeed prone to surge, lying and waiting in December is quite smart. Not to mention, I have to admit that deploying below 90,000 shows some strategy, at least there's a method. Damn, it's another "risk-reward ratio" story, sounds great, but losing money feels just as painful. Liquidity exhaustion = price manipulation becomes easier, that logic is sound, but who guarantees the next order isn't from an ally?

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TokenRationEater

· 12-29 07:02

Liquidity exhaustion is indeed a window of opportunity, but the real profit is never about seeing the chance, rather about daring to bet when no one else does. --- Stop-loss discipline is easy to talk about, but few can actually follow through. --- Placing orders below 90,000? I feel like someone is fishing, waiting for followers to come and take the bait. --- I've heard the theory of seasonal fluctuations too many times, every time big influencers say the same, and then what? --- Using thin order books to push prices up sounds like there’s capital manipulating the market. --- Is the risk-reward ratio asymmetric? The problem is most people can't even tell what’s risk and what’s reward. --- The resilience at 84,000 probably won't last long, the real test is still ahead. --- I think this is just a smoke screen before big funds quietly enter the market. --- "Living to see that moment," this hits home. Too many people get wiped out because of greed.

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CoffeeNFTs

· 12-28 05:28

I'm the kind of person who hesitates while watching others build positions. Eugene's move this time is indeed brilliant. Liquidity exhaustion might actually be an opportunity? Alright, I believe it. I'll try it during the next holiday. --- I've seen through the holiday lull long ago, it's just that I didn't have the guts to act. Now seeing Eugene so determined, I feel a bit of FOMO. --- You're right, risk control is the key. Any strategy without stop-loss is gambling. I previously suffered losses because of greed. --- I like this logic. It's not about grand narratives, just honestly making money through market structure, which is much more sensible than those who boast every day. --- Wait, did he really build a position at this moment? I was still waiting for news at 84,000 and now I regret not jumping in. --- The seasonality part is indeed interesting. The January surge is traditional, and positioning a month in advance is actually quite reasonable. --- How much are you setting the stop-loss at? That's very important, otherwise, another black swan could wipe us out.

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TheMemefather

· 12-26 10:54

The holiday lull is actually a good opportunity to get in. Liquidity dries up, and it's often the easiest time to push prices higher. I agree with this logic. Wait, no stop-loss means courting death. Even the best opportunities are useless without risk management. Eugene's move this time is a low-risk attempt. I agree. Instead of guessing the top, it's better to take action now.

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NeonCollector

· 12-26 10:54

Building positions during periods of liquidity exhaustion is indeed a bold move. However, if stop-losses are not set properly, it's suicide; I've seen too many people crash and burn this way.

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 12-26 10:54

Hmm... The window of liquidity exhaustion sounds good, but I'm more concerned about where his stop-loss is set. Positioning below 90,000 with a target of 100,000, this stop-loss discipline is the key to surviving. Don't be fooled by the "resilience" of a few K-lines.

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MevShadowranger

· 12-26 10:54

Liquidity exhaustion is the easiest time to be attacked; disciplined stop-loss strategies are the prerequisite for surviving and watching the next market wave.

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EthSandwichHero

· 12-26 10:44

Liquidity exhaustion is actually an opportunity. I get this logic, but I don't know when the real buying point will be. It's called risk control in a nice way, but frankly, it still comes down to having a stop-loss discipline. Most people get caught here. Entering below 90,000 takes guts, but the key is whether you can really withstand the pullback later. I think most people won't last until January. The words "stop-loss" are simple, but how many actually follow the discipline? That's the real core of making money. Entering during the off-season sounds good, but I always feel that with small volume at this time, how much money do you really need to push the price up? Are whales really not moving?

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WalletDoomsDay

· 12-26 10:39

Alright, I accept this logic. Selling at 90,000 requires a stop-loss discipline; otherwise, it's just gambling.

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