2025-12-31 17:00:31

#隐私保护话题升温 🔥Next week's US non-farm payroll data preview: Citibank provides its own forecast

💥Citibank has recently released an outlook analysis for the December non-farm employment data—adding approximately 75,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate possibly rising to 4.7%. Behind these figures, there are many insights worth exploring.

On the surface, a rising unemployment rate indeed signals an economic slowdown. Recently, the market has been discussing a "mild cooling" in the labor market, which many see as a potential support for the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates.

However, there is an interesting twist—Citibank points out that the increase in the unemployment rate may also stem from an increase in the labor force participation rate. In other words, more people are actively entering the job market. This actually reflects a recovery in employment confidence, and with recent layoffs still at historically low levels, the overall resilience of the job market might be stronger than what the unemployment rate alone suggests.

Therefore, this report presents an interesting picture: data may appear to be weakening on the surface, but the underlying logic seems quite robust.

For the cryptocurrency market, this kind of employment environment—neither overheated (with easing inflation pressures) nor too cold (with manageable recession risks)—is exactly the ideal macro backdrop for the Federal Reserve to steadily advance liquidity support and continue providing capital to risk assets. The upcoming data release next week warrants close attention.

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MysteryBoxAddict

· 01-02 10:57

Is rising unemployment rate actually a good sign? The logic is a bit convoluted... But on the other hand, this is indeed positive for the crypto market. Continued liquidity injection means money is pouring into risk assets. Keep a close eye on next week's non-farm payroll data.

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DogeBachelor

· 01-02 07:33

Unemployment rate 4.7%? It sounds scary but it's not that dire... The labor force participation rate has actually increased, which is interesting and indicates that people still have confidence. The Federal Reserve has one more reason to cut interest rates, which is indeed a positive for our crypto circle. Let's wait and see the data next week.

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BrokeBeans

· 2025-12-31 17:28

Unemployment rate soars by 4.7%, but the job market is actually quite strong? The logic is a bit convoluted, but then again, the Federal Reserve will ultimately have to loosen monetary policy anyway.

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PumpDoctrine

· 2025-12-31 17:26

Citigroup's recent analysis is interesting—rising unemployment rate is actually a good thing? Well, let's wait until the data is really out before making any conclusions. --- But whether it's hot or cold, the Federal Reserve's plans are quite clever. Risk assets are about to take off. --- There are some issues with the labor force participation rate increase; it depends on how the distribution looks. Don't tell me it's just statistical magic again. --- Is next week's non-farm payroll really that critical? It seems like every time the data comes out lately, it's interpreted in all sorts of ways. --- An increase of 75,000 new jobs isn't much, but the record low in layoffs still gives people confidence. --- Basically, it's still a bet that the Federal Reserve will continue to loosen monetary policy. Whether the market can hold up depends on this. --- So, is now a good time to enter the market or just a chance for bagholders? I'm a bit unsure.

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SelfCustodyIssues

· 2025-12-31 17:24

Is rising unemployment rate actually a good sign? I need to ponder this logic... The increase in labor force participation rate indeed changes the flavor, but isn't Citigroup's tone a bit too much of a sugarcoat? Whether BTC can enjoy the Federal Reserve's "interest rate cut benefits" this week depends on next week.

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Lonely_Validator

· 2025-12-31 17:09

Unemployment rate at 4.7% sounds scary, but upon closer look, the labor force participation rate is actually rising? This is the real signal, indicating that people still have confidence in finding jobs and are not adopting a lay-flat approach. The Federal Reserve has one more reason to continue easing. Can this crypto rally continue?

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SchrodingerWallet

· 2025-12-31 17:08

Unemployment rate at 4.7% sounds scary, but upon closer thought, the rising labor force participation rate is actually a good sign? The logic is a bit convoluted, but for the crypto world, it indeed signals a "bullish market" trend. Let's see next week, it feels like another round of the "Federal Reserve releasing liquidity" cycle is about to begin. This kind of gentle cooling is the most profitable, as it can lower interest rates without worrying about an economic collapse. Wait, layoffs at a historic low? Then an increase in the unemployment rate really just means more job seekers—wake up. Reading this Citibank report feels like playing word games; anyway, for us, it boils down to one sentence— the dollar will continue to weaken, and cryptocurrencies will rise. Good data or bad data, it still rises—that's the beauty of macro hedging.

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