2025-12-31 19:21:41

The performance of Bitcoin in 2025 exceeded many people's expectations. The year-end closing price was $87,870, down 6.08% from the $93,567 at the beginning of the year. It looks like a decline, but there is an interesting signal behind it — the old pattern since 2011 has been broken.

What pattern? It is the cycle of "rising for three years, falling for one year." This pattern has been as punctual as a clock in Bitcoin's history, repeatedly confirming a certain rhythm in the market. But in 2025, this logic seems to have failed.

What does this mean? Some believe that market maturity is increasing, and the involvement of institutional investors has changed the traditional retail-driven cycle. Others think this is just a temporary deviation, and the next cycle will reappear. But in any case, this year-end figure ($87,870) is indeed telling a story different from the past.

BTC1,7%

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GateUser-4745f9ce

· 01-01 18:33

Uh, when the pattern is broken, that's the real signal. Institutional entry truly changes the game rules.

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BanklessAtHeart

· 01-01 01:29

When the pattern breaks, it's often a signal that the story is about to change. Institutions have really rewritten the game rules.

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GasFeeVictim

· 2025-12-31 19:47

The breaking of the pattern... institutional entry has changed the game rules, and it feels like the crypto circle is no longer a playground for retail investors. I just want to know if the next cycle can still follow the usual pattern; it depends on how the institutional players will play. The saying that it will rise for three years and fall for one year—I've heard it for so many years, but when it actually becomes unreliable, I feel less at ease. The 87k level... compared to the dip at the beginning of the year, but the signal of the pattern failing is truly valuable. Is it an increase in maturity? Or is capital just playing new tricks to cut retail investors? Who can tell for sure?

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ProxyCollector

· 2025-12-31 19:44

The pattern has been broken? That's not a good thing, it means the big players have already figured out how retail investors play. The next step is to set their own rules.

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GasDevourer

· 2025-12-31 19:41

The rules have been broken, now this is interesting... Institutional entry has indeed changed the game.

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SelfStaking

· 2025-12-31 19:36

Is the pattern broken? I think this guy is overthinking it. Can institutional entry really change the cycle? Come on, retail investors and small traders are the perpetual motion machine, okay? Wait, is the level trying to maintain a certain psychological barrier... It feels like there's something going on. The phrase "temporarily deviating" hits the hardest. Those who bet on a three-year rally are all waiting for the next round, and then... hey. Honestly, the failure of the pattern might be more terrifying than a real crash. Anyway, I choose to lie flat. The idea of rising for three years and falling for one is outdated. Now it's about watching the Federal Reserve's breathing rhythm to buy coins.

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