#以太坊大户持仓变化 Have you ever encountered such an awkward situation—seeing the right direction but the account not showing any increase?

Many people treat trading as a standardized exam. Each position is like a question, waiting for the market to grade it. When correct, they cheer and celebrate; when wrong, they regret for three days.

After doing this for years, the account indeed hasn't grown much, but their emotional responses have been honed to perfection.

The fundamental problem may not be poor prediction ability, but rather our understanding of the crypto market has been completely distorted.

**The market is not an exam room.** It is a highly chaotic system full of randomness. You might sense short-term small fluctuations, but trying to continuously predict the next move, and the one after that? Almost impossible. This is the paradox: we desperately use a "seeking certainty" mindset to participate in a game inherently full of "uncertainty."

So, how to survive?

You need to change your approach. Don't stubbornly stick to "I must predict correctly." Instead, learn to become someone who "responds quickly."

Don't demand precision every time; accept that—most of the time, the crypto market is just a tangled mess. Your job isn't to prove how smart you are, but to stay clear-headed amid this chaos and make decisions that allow you to survive.

When a trend emerges (a relatively orderly market appears), follow it immediately. When the market descends into chaos, and coins like $ETH and BONK experience wild fluctuations, the first reaction should be to withdraw, shrink, and wait in hiding.

Don't reject this chaos. Frankly, because it is impossible to predict everything, opportunities for excess returns exist.

The true essence of trading is never about controlling the situation, but about making decisions that benefit yourself repeatedly amid ongoing uncertainty.

Rather than being a driver holding the steering wheel and insisting on control, it's better to learn to sense the water flow and swim with the current. The direction isn't something you plan; it's something you recognize and follow after the market has moved. This way, perhaps progress is slower, but you can survive more steadily and go further.