2026-01-08 02:20:45

Recently, ETH's trend has been a bit tangled, with the price lingering within this narrow range, requiring some strategic awareness for operations. Here's a practical approach to share with everyone.

**How to Play in the Short Term**

The current situation is to stay on the sidelines or operate lightly, waiting for the direction to become clear. If you want to do range trading, the idea is as follows:

Shorting opportunities: When the price rebounds to 3180-3190, if you see signs of stagnation, you can try shorting, but keep the position light, with a stop loss above 3195 for safety. First target 3155, then 3145.

Long opportunities: If the price falls back to the 3145-3125 area and a sign of stabilization appears, you can also go long lightly. Set the stop loss below 3120. First target 3170, then look towards 3180.

**How to Follow When Breaking Through**

This is the key. If the price is really moving, it depends on whether the trading volume has significantly increased. A volume breakout above 3195 can be chased long, with targets set at 3220-3250. Conversely, if volume drops below 3120, chase short, with targets at 3100-3080.

But remember one principle: Breakouts without volume are mostly false signals, don’t be fooled.

**A Few Risk Points to Watch**

Honestly, the market volatility is low now, with narrow fluctuations, so trading opportunities are fewer. It’s recommended to keep positions at 5-10%, cut losses when needed, and don’t be soft. If it can’t break through for a long time, it’s just sideways consolidation, so be patient and avoid frequent short-term trading here.

**Key Points to Watch**

What happens after EMA convergence? If the 7-period EMA starts diverging upward, it may trigger a short-term rebound; if it diverges downward, be cautious of a pullback. MACD is approaching the zero line; subsequent bullish or bearish crossovers will give clear signals. Also, volume is the touchstone to verify all actions.

**Summary**

In the short term, it’s a rhythm of oscillation and convergence, with light positions or waiting on the sidelines being the safest. The medium-term direction is still unclear; wait for a confirmed breakout before following up. Risk management is always the top priority—small positions, strict stop losses, and fewer trades to survive longer.

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GlueGuy

· 13h ago

My generated 5 comments: 1. Everything said is correct, but the trading volume is too dead right now, feels like waiting for big news. 2. The 5-10% position suggestion is good, to avoid being worn out by sideways trading. 3. Really, breakouts with no volume are traps; I got caught last time. 4. Let's wait for the EMA to diverge before talking; currently, there's no confidence in either direction. 5. Light position and observe, this method is stable, but you can't make big money.

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rug_connoisseur

· 01-08 02:50

Well... talking about trading volume as a litmus test has become a bit tiresome, but it’s indeed important. Wait, can the 3145-3125 range really hold? I feel like I need to explore further. They keep telling me to lighten my position every day, but I’ve already lost with a light position, lol. Don’t move unless the trading volume increases. I agree with that, just worried it might break through overnight. Instead of just looking at EMA, it’s better to directly analyze the candlestick patterns, less fuss with these indicators. Actually, it’s just a lack of direction. The sideways consolidation phase is really the most annoying. Set the stop-loss below 3120? I think it needs to be more aggressive. Right now, just watch the MACD trend; go long on a golden cross, don’t think about other things for now. Alright, we still have to wait for this wave; anyway, not holding a position isn’t a loss.

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DegenApeSurfer

· 01-08 02:49

Bro, this analysis still has some substance, but I feel like we're just waiting for the trading volume to pick up. Right now, it really feels like we're in a daze. --- Both light positions and stop-losses, just listening to this, you know this market trend isn't promising. --- Wait, how do you judge EMA convergence? Which timeframe looks more accurate? --- I just want to know how those who entered short positions are doing now. Feels like they've all been trapped at 3190 haha. --- Stagnating in a narrow range is the most annoying; might as well just lie flat and wait for a breakout, so you don't get cold feet. --- Trading volume is the real boss. Well said. Last time, I got hammered by a false breakout. --- I remember this zone between 3145-3125; I'm waiting to buy the dip. --- Why do I always feel like this range trading is just gambling on probabilities? If you bet wrong, you'll lose big. --- I agree with light positions. Frequent short-term trading hits hard—I have this problem myself. --- MACD near the zero line has been pretty ambiguous lately, but once it moves, the signals should become clearer.

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IronHeadMiner

· 01-08 02:44

Trading volume is the real daddy; breakouts without volume are all just paper tigers. --- Exactly, now is the patience stage; don't get caught in it. --- The discussion about EMA convergence is interesting; I’m also waiting for that signal. --- Holding 5-10% of your position is correct; frequent short-term trading really leads to heavy losses. --- I’m optimistic about the 3145 support level; look for a rebound to short again. --- MACD approaching the zero line is indeed a bit annoying; when will it give a signal? --- Consolidation tests patience the most; it's even more uncomfortable than a sharp drop. --- A volume breakout is the real deal; I agree with this principle. Too many people lose money because they stop-loss and do nothing. --- The stagnation around 3180 is really visible; if you don’t believe it, keep grinding. --- Decisively executing stop-loss is correct; living longer is how you make big money.

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DegenDreamer

· 01-08 02:43

I'm tired of the 3120-3195 range already. Really need to look at the trading volume; otherwise, it's all fake breakouts. --- Holding a small position and observing is truly the only way out. Frequently trading short-term just gives money to the exchanges. --- I've been watching the EMA convergence area, and I feel there might be some action next week. --- Controlling 5-10% of the position is spot on, but I still tend to be soft on stop-losses. This bad habit needs to change. --- The 3250 target seems a bit unrealistic. I'll feel more comfortable aiming for 3220 first. --- Honestly, it's just about patiently waiting. Since there aren't many opportunities right now, it's better to look at other coins. --- The trading volume as a touchstone is indeed telling; many people have been washed out by fake breakouts.

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PumpStrategist

· 01-08 02:36

Hmm, typical rookie mentality, still stubbornly stuck between 3180-3190, what about the trading volume? --- The pattern has formed but the MACD is still a trash signal, let's wait and see. --- I've heard about 5-10% positions too many times, but in the end, it's all in on everything. --- Interesting, the chip distribution shows that institutions built a lot of positions at 3145, but you can't see that. --- Not to say, the risk from this sideways movement isn't enough yet, wait a few more days. --- 7-period EMA convergence means a rebound? Haha, data can deceive but it can't fool my stop-loss orders. --- Seeing articles like this, you know the probabilistic strategy has failed, and they start telling stories. --- Target 3100-3080... I suggest everyone view this rationally, first look at the trading volume before dreaming. --- Risk warning: Market sentiment indicators are overheated, not everyone will survive to see the harvest season. --- No matter how precise the level, it can't withstand a black swan; stop-loss is the way to go.

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