2026-01-08 03:28:59

Polymarket claims "no inside information"? That's laughable.

New account, just registered.
Place bets in seconds.
Extremely rare markets.
A deadline as tight as it can get.

And a few hours later?
The US Navy was deployed. Helicopters, destroyers, submarines lurking nearby. The whole world was watching. The oil tanker Marinera was seized.

Is this what you call "good luck"?

The information asymmetry problem in prediction markets has surfaced again. When some participants have an informational advantage that others do not, fairness itself becomes a joke. This is not the first time, and it won't be the last.

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ForkTongue

· 11h ago

Placing a bet in seconds and deploying a aircraft carrier—how "lucky" does that have to be? A typical information gap harvest.

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MevWhisperer

· 01-08 03:59

Laughing to death, the new account goes all in instantly, and a few hours later the navy arrives. What else could this be if not luck? --- Polymarket really treats us like fools, the information gap is right here in plain sight. --- Here they come again, again and again. This time, no one can make up stories, right? --- I just want to know how that new account person knew about it. Pure coincidence? Give me a break. --- Prediction markets? Ha, this is called "accurate prediction," but only if you're part of the core circle.

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LightningAllInHero

· 01-08 03:58

Uh, this is called no insider information? I don't believe you at all.

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ChainDetective

· 01-08 03:58

New accounts can place bets in seconds, and the navy was deployed within a few hours. This coincidence is just too outrageous.

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blocksnark

· 01-08 03:57

Laughing to death, new account all in instantly, the navy deployed within hours. Is this really called no insider information? --- Polymarket’s excuse really can’t hold up anymore. Such obvious information asymmetry and still pretending to be transparent? --- It’s the same old story, every time someone bets precisely on time. I just want to ask, where in the world are there so many coincidences? --- Prediction markets = information markets. Those with insider info are always one step ahead of us. And they still dare to call it fair? --- New account, instant betting, navy is here. This logical chain is just too clear haha. --- Insider trading dressed up as prediction markets. Very clever.

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zkProofInThePudding

· 01-08 03:38

Laughing to death, the new account spends money at lightning speed, and the navy was dispatched within a few hours? This luck is also a bit too outrageous, right? --- Prediction markets are like this, whoever has faster information makes money, always an insider game. --- Polymarket: We're very fair. Me: Haha. --- It's not the first time I've seen this kind of coincidence, but every time it seems like nothing happened. --- New accounts, tight deadlines, rare markets... Doesn't someone know something in advance? --- Just ask one question, how the hell can this be luck? Can the probabilities be so perfectly aligned? --- The victory of information asymmetry, forever and always.

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