2026-01-08 13:22:07

The recent market atmosphere is quite interesting. I’ve noticed a phenomenon—every year around the beginning of the year, funds flood in to speculate. The reason is simple: everyone has some idle cash in their pockets, and with the market heating up, everyone wants to take advantage of this trend to make some profit.

This time is even more exaggerated. The total market capitalization of some sectors has skyrocketed to an absurd level, appearing to have no intention of cooling down. This kind of mindless rally, which was only seen during super bull markets in previous years, is now actually happening.

Why dare to speculate like this? My judgment is that some funds have been secretly supporting the market. Large players inside the market see others taking positions, and their confidence grows. This is not only reflected in the spot market but also in the implied volatility of options, which has been hitting new lows—indicating that no one perceives any risk at the moment, and everyone is optimistically betting on a one-sided upward trend.

What’s next? In the short term, funds will continue to flow in before the Spring Festival, and this hot money-driven rally may persist. But after the holiday, if no fresh blood is injected into the market, the situation will be uncertain. That will be the real test of the fundamentals.

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ContractTester

· 01-11 03:30

Wow, is the market manipulation so obvious? I also see the volatility hitting a new low. We really need to be careful after this session.

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SoliditySurvivor

· 01-11 00:56

The madness before the Spring Festival we've seen too many times, the key is how to follow up after the holiday. --- A combination of defending the market + taking over positions, playing smoothly, just afraid no one will lift the sedan chair. --- What does it mean when implied volatility hits a new low? It simply means all the gamblers have exited, and the real risk often appears during the calmest times. --- Large investors are bold because someone is backing them. Once the funding chain breaks, this wave of hot money can freeze instantly. --- This wave at the beginning of the year isn't a real bull market; it's just seasonal funding fever. Don't be fooled by the atmosphere. --- The post-holiday period is the watershed; those going all-in now are just waiting to be trapped. --- The continuous mindless rise so far indicates that smart money in the market has already been quietly reducing their positions. --- Implied volatility hitting a new low? That means everyone guessed the right direction, which is the most dangerous signal. --- Playing with idle funds will eventually run out one day; the question is whether you can get out in time. --- Defending the market is a deep water game; retail investors following the trend all end up as bagholders.

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ZKProofEnthusiast

· 01-09 04:21

The market stabilization funds are playing this game, and after the holiday, flaws will be exposed. Let's wait and see.

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PumpBeforeRug

· 01-08 13:52

Market support players are secretly harvesting profits; the declining volatility is just a sedative.

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CryptoFortuneTeller

· 01-08 13:51

A set of strategies to support the market and harvest profits, keep pushing before the Spring Festival, and see the true performance after the holiday.

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AirdropHunterXM

· 01-08 13:43

Hmm... the tactics of supporting the market and taking over positions, this wave is probably going to explode. No one believed in risks before the Spring Festival, but after the holiday, the truth was revealed. Implied volatility hitting a new low and still going all-in, really brave. This market is very虚, just waiting for someone to run first. Those betting on a unilateral upward trend need to be extra cautious. After the holiday, no one is coming to take over positions, and it can't even be smashed down. It looks very familiar... this routine happens every year. With big players supporting, it can indeed fly in the short term, but what about the fundamentals? Ha. Market cap being inflated to ridiculous levels, eventually it still needs to recover.

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AirdropHuntress

· 01-08 13:35

The implied volatility hitting a new low is indeed frightening, and data shows that the market has no defensive awareness. How the market moves after the holiday depends entirely on how much ammunition the supporting funds still have.

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ContractSurrender

· 01-08 13:22

Market support relay race, who will run the last leg? --- Spring Festival red envelope market, will it really crash after the holiday? --- Damn, implied volatility hits a new low, this is a gamble for life. --- Big players are going crazy, it feels like they are digging traps for retail investors. --- Basically, it's a hot money game, we'll see after the holiday. --- Someone is supporting the market? Then I better stay steady and avoid getting caught. --- This brainless rise will eventually have to be paid back, just see who can run faster. --- Not afraid of options anymore? Then no one really cares about risk. --- Can still surge before the Spring Festival, but I've already set my take-profit point. --- Fundamentals are a test for after the holiday; right now, it's all about capital games.

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