2026-01-09 08:00:16

Recently, the international community has been discussing this market cycle chart again, sparking many debates. The general view among overseas investors is that 2026 may face a severe market correction, with risk-related data being alarming—some analysis suggests that about 98% of participants could face significant losses at the cycle peak.

This reflects a reality of the crypto market: most retail investors tend to enter the market during the highest bullish sentiment, only to suffer the greatest losses at the cycle top. The cycle chart clearly demonstrates the regular fluctuations of the market—from the bottom of a bear market to the peak of a bull market, and then to the inevitable next adjustment.

It is worth pondering whether historical cycle data can accurately predict the future. How should investors find a balance between cycle awareness and practical operation?

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CoffeeOnChain

· 21h ago

98% loss? That's hilarious. How did they come up with that number? It must be someone spreading anxiety again. 2026 is still far away. Let's just focus on living well for now. Cycle patterns are patterns, but when it comes to critical moments, no one can hold on. Basically, it's about finding your rhythm between greed and fear, haha. History repeats itself, but it's never the same. I'm tired of hearing that phrase.

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BlockchainBouncer

· 01-09 08:29

98% loss? Haha, another "accurate prediction," trying to calculate 2026 now and rushing to doom it. Predicting historical cycles is nonsense; too many variables. Better to think about how not to chase in at the high. I heard it's just to scare the newbies; real players have already made their moves. Psychological preparation is essential. Don't repeat the same mistakes in the next bull market. Cycle charts are just for fun; there's no need to believe them so blindly.

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TokenStorm

· 01-09 08:18

I'm skeptical about the 98% figure; it has a bit of marketing flair. However, on-chain data indeed shows that whales are quietly accumulating, while retail investors are still FOMOing. 2026? I'm more worried about the retracement in the middle of next year. The technicals just don't look right. Predicting a market cycle is a joke. That's what I thought last year, and as a result, I went all-in on three projects that all died, haha. The last bag-holder is always oneself—that's my investment philosophy. Forget it, I don't want to think about it anymore. I'll just keep looking at the candlestick charts. Anyway, I've already seen through all the losses.

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LeverageAddict

· 01-09 08:12

98% loss? Wake up, this data is just to scare people. The ones who truly survive are always the minority. Wait, 2026? Two more years. Panicking now would be too amateurish. Cycle charts? Nice words, but they're just armchair strategizing. Who can truly predict the future? Honestly, those who FOMO into the market deserve to be harvested. That's the most basic lesson of the market. Can history predict the future... Ha, I only know that predicting my own stop-loss level already puts me ahead of 90% of people.

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RegenRestorer

· 01-09 08:09

98% loss, this data is shocking, but honestly, who hasn't bought at the high point? History may repeat itself, but who can really pinpoint the exact timing? I don't believe it. 2026 is still a long way off; talking about this now is a bit of unnecessary worry, right? Cycles are essentially a psychological game; those who understand have already exited. Don't just look at the charts; the key is still to cut losses, everyone. Such predictions are just for fun; those who truly make money never spoil the surprise in advance. Retail investors are always the last to act—what a tragic fate. Yes, the problem is that most people simply can't recognize which part of the cycle they're in.

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