#BTC#

(24-48 Hours Execution Checklist)

- Core Range: 90,000-92,000 (Bull/Bear Boundary)
- Resistance Levels (Shorts/Reducing Positions):
- First Resistance: 91,500-92,000 (Breakout with volume targets 92,500-93,000; otherwise reduce positions)
- Strong Resistance: 92,500-93,000 (No volume rebound, reduce positions; do not chase highs)
- Support Levels (Longs/Stop Loss):
- First Support: 90,000-90,600 (Stabilization allows small long positions, stop loss at 89,800)
- Core Support: 89,000-89,500 (Break below 89,000 with volume → clear positions and watch; target 88,000-88,500)
- Defensive Level: 88,000 (If broken, short-term bearish, stop long positions)
- Operational Suggestions:
1. Deleveraging: Close all 5x+ contracts, keep cash and light spot holdings
2. No Volume Rebound: Reduce positions in batches at 91,500-92,000, single reduction ≤ 10% of total funds
3. Rebound Stabilization: Volume stabilizes at 89,000-90,000, small long attempt (≤ 5% of total funds), stop loss at 89,800
4. Breakout Response: Break below 89,000 with volume → clear positions, wait for 88,000-88,500 to reassess

ETH (24-48 Hours Execution Checklist)

- Core Range: 3080-3150 (Bull/Bear Boundary)
- Resistance Levels (Shorts/Reducing Positions):
- First Resistance: 3140-3180 (Encounter resistance on rebound, reduce positions, do not chase high)
- Strong Resistance: 3180-3220 (Failure to break through, reverse to short, stop loss at 3230)
- Support Levels (Longs/Stop Loss):
- First Support: 3100-3130 (Stabilization allows small long positions, stop loss at 3080)
- Core Support: 3050-3080 (Break below 3050 with volume → clear positions, target 3000-3020)
- Defensive Level: 3000 (If broken, short-term bearish, stop long positions)
- Operational Suggestions:
1. Deleveraging: Close all contracts at 3x+ leverage, prioritize holding stablecoins
2. No Volume Rebound: Reduce positions in batches at 3140-3180, single reduction ≤ 10% of total funds
3. Rebound Stabilization: Volume stabilizes at 3050-3080, small long attempt (≤ 5% of total funds), stop loss at 3030
4. Breakout Response: Break below 3050 with volume → clear positions, wait for 3000 to reassess

Universal Risk Control Iron Law

1. Position Limits: Spot ≤ 30%, Contracts ≤ 10%, strictly prohibit heavy leverage bets
2. Stop Loss Must Be Set: All orders must have stop loss; no trading without stop loss
3. Correlated Indicators: Keep an eye on DXY and CME FedWatch; if DXY continues to strengthen, crypto pressure persists
4. Altcoins: All on hold, only trade BTC/ETH, avoid low-liquidity small coins