#以太坊 Seeing the prediction that Ethereum might drop to $2400, I am reminded of the investor stories I have encountered over the years.

The Federal Reserve's policy direction indeed influences the market, but this analysis highlights an interesting contrast — under the same policy environment, different liquidity expectations can produce completely opposite results. If interest rates remain steady, Ethereum might face pressure; but if liquidity continues to be injected, it could instead rise to $3600. This uncertainty itself serves as a reminder for us.

What I want to say is that rather than being scared by price fluctuations, it's better to ask yourself three questions: How much of your total assets is in your Ethereum position? Can you withstand a 50% correction? What is your holding period?

Many people get hurt in extreme market conditions not because of the market itself, but due to improper position management. Even if you are optimistic about Ethereum's long-term prospects, you should ensure it is just part of your asset allocation, not your entire bet. The $50 billion ETF inflow indeed indicates institutional confidence, but institutions have risk control teams; as retail investors, we need to be more cautious ourselves.

In the long run, Ethereum's ecosystem is developing, but there will inevitably be setbacks along the way. Staying calm and managing your positions well are the ways to accompany it further.