2026-01-11 08:23:10

This week's performance of gold and silver has indeed been unusual. Although the first full trading week remains in an upward channel, Goldman Sachs has issued a clear warning: silver's upcoming volatility will be quite intense, and the risk level is also increasing.

The real pressure comes from the convergence of several factors. Bloomberg's annual rebalancing of the commodity index directly cut the weights of precious metals, causing institutional funds that track these indices to immediately shift to selling, putting instant pressure on gold and silver prices. To make matters worse, the CME raised the margin requirements for silver futures by 28.6%, effectively increasing the trading threshold, prompting many speculative funds to start withdrawing.

However, a turning point is also brewing. Several financial institutions have recently expressed optimism about the prospects of precious metals and industrial metals in 2026, generally believing there is still room for growth. The current question becomes interesting—whether this is merely a short-term technical adjustment or a normal pullback within a longer-term upward cycle. The flow of funds and policy attitudes are engaged in a fierce battle, and the answer may lie in the price movements over the next few weeks.

What do you think about this situation? Share your thoughts in the comments.

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WhaleWatcher

· 01-14 07:10

Institutions are dumping, retail investors are bottom-fishing, this is a game of strategy, betting on who blinks first. What is Goldman Sachs warning about? Their own positions are still bottom-fishing as well. 28.6% margin, is this a shakeout or a real drop? We’ll see in the next one or two weeks. Bullish on 2026? Then now is a good time to get in, provided your nerves are strong enough. I don’t think silver will be too disastrous this time, after all, industrial demand is still there. Institutions forced to sell off should be re-entering now, just waiting to turn around and go long. Honestly, those entering now are betting on long-term, short-term fluctuations don’t matter much. Bloomberg changing weights so aggressively actually indicates that precious metals need to be revalued. Why did gold prices drop this week? It’s directly related to the rebalancing of the commodity index. Are funds fleeing or positioning? The answer is written right on the K-line. Goldman Sachs dares to warn like this, indicating they can’t see through some things. Silver futures thresholds are being raised, small retail investors are being pushed out, and institutional players are getting cleaner. I bet this is a long-term retracement; if you don’t believe it, let’s talk again in a year.

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SatsStacking

· 01-13 06:20

Goldman Sachs scares the institutions away? How many times has this trick been played before? But the 28.6% margin is indeed fierce, causing small retail investors to be directly out.

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PensionDestroyer

· 01-12 18:09

Goldman Sachs is scaring people again. A 28.6% margin increase immediately causes a sell-off. I'm tired of this routine. The 28.6% figure is quite harsh, but it's funny to see institutions follow suit and sell off. The real bargains are just starting to accumulate now. Instead of stressing over short-term pullbacks, ask yourself if you're ready for your 2026 layout. Anyway, I'm betting on the long term. This move is basically institutions clearing out their floating positions, retail investors fleeing. Who will be laughing last? Let's see how the next few weeks unfold. Using margin as a kill move—any mechanism designer should reflect on this, but this is just the usual package from exchanges.

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faded_wojak.eth

· 01-12 08:45

Goldman Sachs is starting to create panic again; I've seen this trick many times before. Institutions cut weights and raise margins; in plain terms, it's just a shakeout. If you're optimistic about 2026, what's the rush to sell now?

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WinterWarmthCat

· 01-11 08:53

Goldman Sachs is once again bearish, institutions are selling off, and margins are increasing... This combination really hurts. But then someone turns around and is optimistic about 2026, this rhythm... is really very Web3. --- Short-term technical adjustments vs long-term retracement, in simple terms, it's a gamble on how the next few weeks will go, but who can really predict? I think this is actually a frustrating phase. --- When precious metals are cut from the weighting, they just dump the market; this logic will never go out of style... Index weight adjustments can trigger collective actions by institutions, which feels a bit too passive. --- Margin at 28.6%... The CME's move directly squeezed out retail investors, and then? Institutions continue to build positions and collect shares? Old routine. --- I just want to know, what are these financial institutions who are optimistic about 2026 doing now? Bottom fishing or continuing to sell off? Your words and actions need to be consistent, everyone. --- Pressure is coming from all sides, but isn't the key now about what funds are betting on? If institutions truly believe 2026 will rise, then a market dump at this time could actually be an opportunity... or a trap.

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TestnetFreeloader

· 01-11 08:53

Goldman Sachs is starting to stir the pot again, with a 28.6% margin increase—are they just clearing out retail investors? --- Is this wave of silver a bubble burst or a shakeout before a rally? It's really hard to tell, feels like institutions are accumulating at low prices. --- The institution says they are optimistic about 2026, but they're dumping now—aren't they just trying to buy the dip cheaply? This tactic is so familiar. --- Bloomberg index weight cuts are so straightforward; those tracking funds are speechless, being cut off in a wave. --- There will definitely be short-term fluctuations, but in the long run, precious metals are still worth paying attention to—it's just a matter of who loses patience first. --- The margin increase is so aggressive that small retail investors can't play at all. Just thinking about it is suffocating—this is the cruelty of the market. --- The question is, who will dare to take on this position next? The risk is so high...

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EthSandwichHero

· 01-11 08:49

This wave of silver is really frustrating, margin calls drop straight down, and the sound of institutions cutting losses is too loud. Goldman Sachs' warning seems a bit suspicious, is it trying to scare off retail investors to absorb the supply? Is the 2026 bullish outlook genuine or just a trap of positive expectations? We'll see in the next few weeks. In my opinion, this is just a normal pullback, don't panic. It's just a short-term game; the real opportunity is actually here.

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DataPickledFish

· 01-11 08:47

Goldman Sachs' warning this time seems to be serious. A 28.6% margin call is directly filtering out people; retail investors are probably about to get washed out. Institutions are cutting weights, and exchanges are raising thresholds. Isn't this just making room for long-term funds? Short-term chaos is normal, but the story of 2026 is probably not that simple. The current question is who can hold on until then—whether to flatten out or cut losses. It really depends on each person's mindset. This wave feels a bit like a shakeout; the pressure is quite high, but a turning point is indeed brewing. We'll see in the next few weeks. Silver is inherently volatile, and now with this kind of turbulence, those without strong mental resilience should probably stay away. Goldman Sachs daring to say this must have confidence, but whether that confidence favors the bulls or the bears, I really can't tell. Let's wait and see in the next few weeks; it feels like we're reaching the true battleground.

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POAPlectionist

· 01-11 08:43

Goldman Sachs warns + margin frenzy, this is pushing retail investors out, 28.6% no joke Wait, institutions are optimistic about 2026? So is now a good time to accumulate... I'm conflicted Bloomberg cuts weight and directly dumps, this move is really harsh, but in the long run, precious metals still need to rise Honestly, I don't want to buy the dip, but it feels like a lot of people are doing it, this situation is a bit chaotic Volatility means opportunity, as long as your heart is strong enough

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YieldWhisperer

· 01-11 08:39

ngl the margin hike math on silver futures is the real tell here... 28.6% doesn't happen by accident, that's literally pricing out retail and small specs. seen this exact playbook before

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