#2026年比特币价格展望 【Political Cycles and the Subtle Balance in the Crypto World】

The 2026 midterm elections could become the undercurrent in the crypto scene this year. The probability of Trump facing impeachment during his 2025-2029 term has soared to 57%—not only a new historical high but also a reflection of the market speaking through data.

Think about it: if the Democrats manage a reversal in the 2026 midterms, a new round of impeachment almost becomes a certainty. It sounds very political, but what direct impact does it have on the crypto world?

The key point is that the rise in this probability itself indicates one thing: political uncertainty has already been digested and priced in by the market. This is not an emotional play; it is the result of logical deduction from the functioning of the system.

Looking at the performance of $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL makes this clear. The market is using prices to reflect expectations about the U.S. political cycle.

In the coming months, paying attention to the political schedule may be more important than focusing on macroeconomic data.