2026-01-12 21:25:23

The crypto world has been stirring up again recently. Samson has made a bold prediction — by 2026, Elon Musk might fully back Bitcoin, even hinting that Bitcoin's price could break seven figures. Once this statement was made, the discussion heat skyrocketed.

As a veteran who has been navigating this space for eight years, I have to admit that this prediction isn't made out of thin air, but it's definitely worth thinking about calmly. The core issue is — we need to first understand Elon Musk's true influence in the crypto market.

This guy is practically a "human volatility switch" in the crypto market. A few years ago, changing his Twitter bio or adding a Bitcoin tag caused Bitcoin to surge over 18%; when he said Tesla would suspend Bitcoin payments, the price plummeted 10%; then he clarified he hadn't sold any, and the price rebounded immediately. His ability to move markets is on par with top-tier influencers. Logically, if he really bets big on Bitcoin in 2026, the impact would be absolutely nuclear.

But there's a key turning point — the market in 2026 will be very different from today. The crypto market is shifting from a "retail-dominated era" to a "mature institutional phase." Especially after the widespread adoption of spot ETFs, the capital structure has undergone a qualitative change. The era where a single statement from a big player could manipulate the market is a thing of the past. Institutional funds focus on fundamentals and risk management, with emotional factors playing a much smaller role. This means that even influential figures like Musk will have much less leverage to move the market in 2026.

BTC-3,67%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

11 Likes

Reward
11
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

NightAirdropper

· 01-15 21:24

Samson is back at it again, this time with a seven-figure prediction. Just listen and don't take it too seriously, or you'll lose. Elon Musk is indeed a disruptor, but by 2026, the market is no longer solely in his hands. Once institutions come in, the ability to manipulate the sentiment is definitely shrinking. We need to focus on fundamentals. Seven figures? Let's get past the hundred thousand first, haha. --- If this guy really goes all-in with a big gamble, the hype will definitely explode, but how much can he actually move the market? That's a question mark. --- Basically, it's about the big players in the retail era. They can't leverage as much in the institutional era. This analysis still makes some sense. --- After spot ETFs came into play, the market has indeed become more nuanced. It's no longer the time when a single tweet could cause a surge or crash. --- Elon Musk betting big on Bitcoin in 2026? Just listen, market maturity is different now, so his influence is somewhat discounted. --- The key is that institutions prioritize risk control and don't rely on emotional trading. Musk's "hype" ability has long been ineffective.

View OriginalReply0

gas_guzzler

· 01-15 02:09

Does Musk's approach still work in 2026? I think it's unlikely; institutional funds have long stopped following this strategy. --- Seven figures? Come on, that's way too outrageous for a prediction. --- The era of retail investors is over; now it's all about institutional players. There's no suspense. --- By the way, why is Sampson trying to jump on the bandwagon again? Has this guy ever been accurate with his predictions? --- Once ETFs came out, everything changed. Don't expect one person to move the entire market. --- Elon's influence is indeed significant, but 2026 is a whole different ballgame. --- Just listen to these predictions; don't take them seriously. Don't really believe them.

View OriginalReply0

LiquiditySurfer

· 01-12 21:36

Elon Musk is indeed a disruptor in the crypto world, but he's not wrong—by 2026, it's no longer the era where a single tweet can move the market. Honestly, the impact of this wave of spot ETFs is huge; once institutions come in, retail investors' say isn't as strong anymore. Seven figures? Don't get your hopes up; it depends on the fundamentals. This prediction is a bit over the top. In the institutional era, stability matters more than emotions. Having been caught in Elon Musk's traps a few times, I now take his statements with a grain of salt. The game rules in the crypto space have changed; it's not the same as before. Musk's influence is still there, but leverage is indeed shrinking. This analysis is quite clear-headed.

View OriginalReply0

MEVHunterNoLoss

· 01-12 21:35

Well... Musk's approach probably won't work by 2026, once institutions come in, the gameplay will change. Once ETFs become widespread, retail investors' voices will be diminished. This analysis is still on point. Seven figures? Let's wait and see. It's a bit too optimistic to talk about this now. The human-shaped volatility switch is indeed absolute, but institutions don't buy into that. The market landscape in 2026 has already changed; don't expect to turn things around with just a word from the big players. This judgment is actually quite fair; it's rare to see someone clearly understand the issue. Fundamentals are still king; the era of emotional trading being dominant is truly over.

View OriginalReply0

BlockchainNewbie

· 01-12 21:33

Elon Musk, I see right through that guy, he's just a king of selling goods. --- Seven figures? Dreaming, haha. --- That's right, after institutional investors entered, this circle indeed changed. Big players' signals are not as effective anymore. --- 2026 is still early. It's a bit too optimistic to believe in such predictions now. --- I'm just worried that Elon Musk might change his stance again by then. This guy is best at playing reversals. --- The era of single-word pump signals is over? What are retail investors supposed to do? --- Samson's prediction is just eye-catching; don't take it too seriously. --- Institutional funds are cold-blooded. We can never go back to a market dominated by emotions. --- Bitcoin reaching seven figures sounds great, but can it really happen?

View OriginalReply0

AirdropHunterWang

· 01-12 21:27

I'll give these comments a try: 1. Elon Musk's volatility switch attribute, it’s not as effective as it used to be, this is how institutions enter 2. Seven figures? Dream on, if it really happens in 2026, I would go all in 3. The key still depends on how the ETF plays out, the retail-dominated approach is long outdated 4. What you said is spot on, the era of relying on one person to drive the entire market is indeed over 5. Sampson is riding the hype again, just listen to this kind of prediction, don’t take it seriously 6. 2026 is still early, jumping to conclusions now is too hasty, market changes are too fast 7. Institutional funds coming in actually stabilized things, not as easy to be shaken out as before 8. No matter how awesome Elon Musk is, he can't change the fundamentals, that’s the hard truth 9. Spot ETF is the real game changer this time, more solid than any big shot’s words 10. So it still depends on technology and practical application, not just relying on someone's mouth

View OriginalReply0