2026-01-18 09:21:08

Currently, the adjustment is still ongoing, but there isn't much room for further decline.

Last week, the market surged then pulled back again. Behind this are both market sentiment factors and technical adjustments—simply put, the market prefers a steady, slow bull rather than wild swings. We can only follow the rhythm.

From the weekly chart perspective, the bullish pattern remains unchanged, with the moving averages still in a healthy bullish alignment. The weekly K-line is now in a retracement phase after breaking out. As long as it doesn't fall below 4034, it's considered a normal correction. The upward-shifting 5-week moving average next week will serve as a strong support.

What about the daily chart? The recent adjustment starting from 4190 has formed a small to medium-sized consolidation zone. There are two possible scenarios—if the index makes a new low but without accelerating downward, it would be a typical ABC correction structure; if the C wave's strength is weaker than A, a rebound condition will emerge.

So, next week, don't be too nervous about further dips. As long as there are no signs of intensified decline, you can look for opportunities to buy on dips. Of course, there's another approach—if the index breaks above and stabilizes above the 5-day moving average, it could attempt to retest the previous high of 4190. Be prepared with two contingency plans in advance.

On the sector side, AI applications and commercial aerospace continued to decline last week due to various factors. A technical rebound is likely next week. But be cautious—these sectors often only confirm the trend with a rebound after breaking key intraday support levels and making new lows. Whether the correction has truly ended depends on whether the neckline resistance can hold. In trading, focus on those stocks that are resilient and haven't broken their technical patterns.

In the long term, the trends in AI applications and commercial aerospace are far from over; 2026 remains a key focus for the market. Semiconductor and its sub-sectors are also worth allocation, as they present long-term, confirmed opportunities.

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consensus_whisperer

· 9h ago

A slow bull market is truly the way to go; rapid rises and falls are exhausting. --- If 4034 doesn't break, it's stable; this line is very critical. --- Don't blindly chase the rebound; watch whether the neckline can hold. --- AI and aerospace have no long-term issues; it all depends on who can hold out until 2026. --- Buy low during the bottoming out, but don't go all in; keep some bullets in reserve. --- Be cautious of technical rebound traps; chasing after confirmed trends when you know better, serves you right to get caught. --- Two backup plans must be prepared in advance; this round of market movement is just afraid of being caught off guard.

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LootboxPhobia

· 9h ago

4034 holds if not broken, I'm just watching this one line --- ABC correction again, same old story every time, anyway just buy the dip and we're done --- AI and aerospace stocks need to fall more? I already cut my losses, what rebound are you talking about --- Tired of hearing about slow bull markets, just want to know when it's going to skyrocket --- Two backup plans? I only have one move - cutting losses --- Where are the stocks that resist the decline, everything I hold is falling --- Waiting for the 5-week moving average support, but I feel like it won't hold --- Another technical rebound, sounds like guaranteed gains, but usually it's a bloodbath --- 2026? Buddy, let's just get through next week first --- Is semiconductors really a sure bet, come on, I don't believe that

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GasFeeVictim

· 9h ago

A slow bull market is indeed more comfortable than a crazy surge, but how long will this bottoming process last? --- Can 4034 really hold? It feels like this line is a bit shaky. --- I'm aiming for a low buy, just worried that a low buy might turn into a low sell. --- Is the rebound in AI and aerospace just to confirm the trend? Then I might wait before taking action. --- Two sets of plans sound professional, but in practice, it's still a gamble. --- I believe in long-term allocation to semiconductors, but the short-term decline is a bit frightening. --- If next week we break through the 5-day moving average directly, I’ll believe the bulls are still alive. --- It's really hard to find stocks that are resistant to declines now; they’re all just falling along with the market. --- Can you withstand the neckline pressure? You said the same last time, and you know the result. --- It's easy to say that the technical pattern hasn't broken, but many have already broken.

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gas_fee_therapy

· 9h ago

A slow bull is a slow bull anyway, I've already laid back and just go with the rhythm, uh uh uh Don't break below 4034, my heart can't handle this AI and aerospace are really big pitfalls, a rebound is just a confirmation signal... I'll choose to keep watching It's normal to test the bottom next week, preparing two sets of plans is the key Only buy after stabilizing above the 5-day moving average; if this wave repeats again, I might really vomit blood

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notSatoshi1971

· 9h ago

A slow and steady rise is the way to go; we can't afford to play around with wild surges and crashes. Don't fall below 4034; stay steady. The rebound of AI and Hang Tian next week is a routine; don't be fooled. Long-term optimistic, but don't make reckless moves in the short term. The opportunity for low-entry next week is coming; get your bullets ready.

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SchrodingerAirdrop

· 9h ago

As long as 4034 is not broken, stay calm. Continue waiting for a rebound next week.

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LiquidityLarry

· 9h ago

A slow bull is the true way; this adjustment is just a shakeout. As long as 4034 is not broken, continue to accumulate; AI and Hangtian will rebound next week.

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