Recently, I've been watching the trends of the privacy coins ZEN and DASH. To be honest, my operations have been a bit rushed. Some time ago, I chased a rally, clearly seeing a correction signal on the four-hour chart, but I didn't exit in time. Mainly because I worry that focusing on smaller timeframes for too long makes me prone to missing the move, and this bad habit is quite stubborn.

Currently, both of these assets are in a recovery phase. My judgment is: the four-hour chart should form two to three peaks, with each high point lower than the previous one, and the final retest of the 10 level should be a very strong support. Once the highs start to decline and we break through convincingly, it will actually be easier to go higher—at that point, entering around the 10 level with a stop loss of ten points to aim for ten times the profit is statistically worthwhile.

Because I chased the high, my average price isn't ideal, but luckily my position isn't large, and I have the opportunity to add more later. Honestly, the biggest variable right now is the rebound of BTC. Seeing that we are in the mid to late stage, a correction could easily drag other assets down, which is the most important risk to watch out for.

There are also a few key time points to note: at the end of the month, the US government might shut down, which is a positive factor for privacy coins; but the probability of the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates in February is also high. Overall, there is some uncertainty. So the advice is: when BTC truly confirms a correction, be more alert. If you didn't buy at the very bottom, it's better to exit proactively rather than hold on stubbornly. Wait for BTC to dip again and then re-enter. This kind of rhythm often makes the risk more controllable.