Core CPI data once again fell below market expectations, and a problem that was once hanging over our heads is being redefined — the threat of inflation is gradually diminishing.
What does this mean? Many people's first reaction is: interest rate cuts are coming. But it's not that simple.
A more accurate way to say it is: the reasons to continue maintaining tight monetary policy are disappearing. When inflation is no longer an enemy, the current high interest rate levels lose their necessity.
The next question is no longer whether policymakers "should" take action, but rather what the market is betting on — how far will they push the pace of liquidity release? This change in expectations often occurs faster than the policy itself and has a more direct impact on asset prices.
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RunWhenCut
· 13h ago
Oh no, here we go again with the "interest rate cuts are coming" narrative, always rehashing the same story... Basically, it's just that policies have no reason to hold on tightly anymore, and the market is just betting on who acts faster. The real spectators are still us retail investors; the speed at which policy expectations jump always surpasses actual implementation, and that's the game we're playing.
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NFT_Therapy
· 13h ago
Haha, has the inflation really subsided? Why do I feel like the wallet is still shrinking... Just watching the show unfold.
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GweiWatcher
· 13h ago
The inflation peak thing, it feels like the market has already priced it in. Now it's just betting on whether the Federal Reserve will actually loosen... To be honest, I find it a bit hard to see through.
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NotGonnaMakeIt
· 13h ago
Uh, isn't this saying that the certainty of interest rate cuts is piling up? But the real money-making opportunities have long been snatched up by smart money...
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AirdropChaser
· 13h ago
Wow, CPI is below expectations again. Are interest rates really going to loosen now... Quickly check how much my coins can still rise.
Core CPI data once again fell below market expectations, and a problem that was once hanging over our heads is being redefined — the threat of inflation is gradually diminishing.
What does this mean? Many people's first reaction is: interest rate cuts are coming. But it's not that simple.
A more accurate way to say it is: the reasons to continue maintaining tight monetary policy are disappearing. When inflation is no longer an enemy, the current high interest rate levels lose their necessity.
The next question is no longer whether policymakers "should" take action, but rather what the market is betting on — how far will they push the pace of liquidity release? This change in expectations often occurs faster than the policy itself and has a more direct impact on asset prices.