ETH Perpetual Contract Trading Strategy for Today (February 25, 2026)

Market Background
Currently, ETH price is in a short-term fluctuation range, with approximately 5% gain over 24 hours and moderate trading volume. Based on two leverage ranges, support/defense levels, liquidity indicators, and profit targets.
This strategy employs high leverage, two-way trading, with no stop-loss as a principle, treating SL as DF, forming a Martingale-style risk management.
Note: High leverage trading without stop-loss carries extremely high risk and may lead to unlimited losses. It is only suitable for professional traders. Strictly control total exposure. In plain language, avoid if you're a beginner.
Trading Direction and Entry Points
• Two-way Hedging: Simultaneously open long and short positions to form a grid strategy. Initial positions are balanced with a 1% initial reduction.
• Long Positions (Leverage x100-x200):
• Entry Price: Wait for a slight pullback to enter at the 1900-1920 support zone.
• Position Size: Control total long positions at 1% of account funds, using phased entries.
• Short Positions (Leverage x50-x150):
• Entry Price: Wait for a slight rebound to enter at the 1930-1950 resistance zone.
• Position Size: Control total short positions at 1% of account funds, using phased entries.
• Overall Leverage: Longs 100x-200x, Shorts 50x-150x (choose based on volatility; starting with median is recommended to avoid extreme leverage).
Risk Management and Replenishment
• Principles: No stop-loss design; all adverse price movements are viewed as opportunities to add to positions, gradually lowering the average cost. Limit total positions through no more than 9 replenishments. Monitor account margin rate to avoid forced liquidation.
• Long Replenishment:
• Initial Support: When price drops to 1862, 1842, 1822, add 20-30% of initial position each time, total replenishment risk ≤3%.
• Defensive Replenishment: When price further drops to 1802, 1782, 1772, add 10-20% of initial position each time, keep total drawdown within ≤9%. After replenishment, lower the average cost and wait for a rebound.
• Short Replenishment:
• Initial Support: When price rises to 1935, 1955, 1975, add 20-30% of initial position each time, total replenishment risk ≤3%.
• Defensive Replenishment: When price further rises to 1994, 2014, 2024, add 10-20% of initial position each time, keep total drawdown within ≤9%. After replenishment, raise the average cost and wait for a pullback.
• Liquidity Considerations for Replenishment:
• Longs: MP liquidity average price (Avg.P) around 45-65, ensure minimal slippage during replenishment; reduce size when liquidity is low.
• Shorts: MP Avg.P around 65-85, same as above.
• Replenishment Limit: Up to 3-5 times, total position not exceeding 3 times the initial. If the DF end is reached without rebound, manually evaluate whether to partially close to lock in unrealized profits.
Profit Targets
• Layered Profit Taking: Calculate independently for each side, using a gradient closing strategy, prioritizing closing profitable positions to free margin.
• Long TP:
• First Target: $1980 (close 50% of long positions) — short-term resistance, quick lock-in.
• Second Target: $2050 (close 25% of long positions) — medium-term target, observe volume.
• Third Target: $2080 (close remaining 75% of long positions) — long-term target, can trail profit as price rises.
• Short TP:
• First Target: $1855 (close 50% of short positions) — short-term support, quick lock-in.
• Second Target: $1865 (close 25% of short positions) — medium-term target.
• Third Target: $1875 (close remaining 75% of short positions) — long-term target, can trail profit as price falls.
• Expected Return: Risk-reward ratio of at least 1:3 for each side (average after replenishments). With leverage, potential gains can reach 200%-500%, but beware of unlimited risk.
Execution and Monitoring
• Time Frame: Intraday to overnight trading, holding no more than 48 hours. Key monitoring times: increased volatility before and after US stock market opens.
• Additional Indicators: Combine RSI (neutral for oscillation) and MACD to confirm replenishment timing. Prioritize operations when liquidity Avg.P is within specified range.
• Exit Conditions: If one side reaches TP fully, consider closing the hedge side to amplify gains. In extreme market conditions, manually close all positions. Always monitor margin to avoid liquidation.