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upcoming macro events
Wednesday
NVIDIA ($NVDA) earnings – after market close
Consensus: ~$65.5B revenue | $4.69 EPS
Beat → lifts AI, semis, data-center stocks (AMD, TSMC, SMCI etc.)
Miss → drags NASDAQ broadly
Key watch: any comment on China GPU sales resuming → very bullish signal
Thursday
Initial Jobless Claims
Prior: 227K
< 235K → labor market healthy, Fed patient → neutral/bullish
245K → rising recession fears
Friday
January PPI inflation data
Consensus: +0.3% MoM
Hot print → "higher for longer" rates → bearish for growth stocks & crypto
Cool print → higher June rate cut probability → bullish across risk assets
Sets tone into March FOMC
All Week
11 total Fed speakers
Focus: any shift in messaging on June rate cut timing Hawkish → sell pressure
Dovish → relief rally
Biggest market movers this week (in order of impact): NVDA earnings outcome (beat vs miss)
Fed tone on rate cuts (especially June odds)