It becomes very clearly when you look at it like this.

We have actually only had two cycles that can be put down as "4 year cycles".
They are: 2014 - 2018 & 2018 - 2022.
2009 - 2014 do not fall into it.
This cycle it is yet to be decided.
So out of 8 years of Bitcoins 16 year life, as of now, only 50% of it can be linked to the "4 year cycle" theory.
However, what is 100% consistent is that every time ISM enters expansion from contraction, it has begun a bull cycle for at least 385 days.
And yet, everyone holds onto the 4 year cycle and discounts the ISM/Business cycle?
Right now, we are clearly entering expansion, something that has triggered bull cycles with 100% accuracy...
And everyone is just ignoring and waiting for Q4 bottom.
It is my view that many are going to be caught offside here, and when you actually look...
It makes total sense.
I think what we have coming is going to be one of the biggest "it was obvious in hindsight" moments we have ever had in this space.
The 4 year cycle adoration and obsession has enabled the perfect trap to be laid.
And many are walking into the slaughter.