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1. Gold: The King of Safe Havens, Volatility Amplifier
U.S.-Iran conflict → Capital flight to safety → Gold prices surge directly
Key points to watch:
- Short-term: Escalation of conflict → Safe-haven buying
- Medium-term: Situation eases → Pullback from highs
Trading mantra: Don't chase highs, don't panic sell, buy on dips, exit on breakdowns
2. Crude Oil: The Main Player in This Market
Iran is a major oil exporter, and the Strait of Hormuz carries 20% of global oil shipments.
As long as the conflict continues, crude oil will carry a geopolitical premium.
Focus on: Whether shipping is disrupted, whether retaliation escalates
3. Forex & Stock Indices: Risk Appetite Directly Affects
Increased risk aversion → US dollar strengthens → Non-dollar currencies and stock indices come under pressure
Conflict easing → Risk assets rebound. #xau #BTCUSD