An attack by the US and Israel on Iran is not considered a black swan event.

Look at the A-shares, look at gold, just a small wave, and only crude oil has a slightly bigger movement.
The market has already incorporated this expectation...
However, political discourse is indeed a major source of traffic.
I see various analysts explaining it convincingly, which makes my eyes dizzy...
But politics is truly complex; the visible wars are just surface manifestations, the behind-the-scenes game is too deep...
We ordinary folks just hope for peace and stability.
Unfortunately, we are not in an era of peace...
Prosperity brings suffering to the people, and downfall also brings suffering to the people...