1. Market Performance: Strong Rebound, Short Positions Liquidated Over $400 Million

Price Performance: As of March 4, Bitcoin's price surged strongly, reaching a high of $71,890, marking a nearly one-month high. Mainstream cryptocurrencies like Ethereum also followed the upward trend, with the market showing a broad rally.

Liquidation Data: Sharp price fluctuations led to a large number of short positions being liquidated. According to CoinGlass data, over the past 24 hours, the total amount of crypto liquidations across the network exceeded $450 million, with 126,100 traders liquidated, of which more than 60% were short positions.

2. Bullish Logic: Multiple Positive Factors Resonating
1. Geopolitical Risk Eases, Short Covering Drives Rally

Earlier, due to escalating conflicts in the Middle East, Bitcoin briefly dropped to a low of $63,038. As the situation did not worsen further, market sentiment shifted from panic to caution, forcing many short sellers to close their positions, creating a short squeeze. Analysis indicates that Bitcoin tends to react faster than traditional assets during geopolitical shocks, serving as an outlet for capital to release pressure.

2. Institutional Funds Continue to Flow In, ETF Demand Rebounds

Recent net inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs have been significant. Data shows that on Monday and Tuesday, net inflows exceeded $680 million, with approximately $1.45 billion flowing in over the past five trading days. This indicates institutional investors are taking advantage of the pullback to increase their holdings, providing solid buying support for the market.

3. Technical Breakout: Bullish Signals Strengthen

From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's price broke out of the previous bearish flag pattern and formed a symmetrical triangle breakout. This pattern typically signals a continuation of the upward trend. Additionally, there is an unfilled gap in the CME futures market (from $79,660 to $81,210). Historical data shows that such gaps have a 90% probability of being filled, providing an upward "magnet" for the price.

3. Market Outlook: Short-term Target of $80,000, Long-term Target of $150,000

Short-term (March): Based on the measured move of the symmetrical triangle breakout, Bitcoin's short-term target points to $80,000. This target also coincides with the upper boundary of the CME futures gap and the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) resistance level, which are key focus points for bulls.

Long-term Outlook (2026): With clearer regulations and mainstream integration progressing, Bitcoin is expected to reach $150,000 by 2026. Institutions like Standard Chartered Bank maintain similar long-term bullish views, believing that continued ETF allocations by institutions will drive prices to new highs.