#美伊局势影响 Short-term blockade of the Strait of Hormuz (30% of global oil shipping) → Oil prices surge → Inflation expectations rise → Rate hike expectations increase → Cryptocurrency remains under pressure


- Federal Reserve stance: If inflation rebounds, maintain high interest rates → Difficult for crypto to have a big rally

- Iran under sanctions → Crypto becomes a necessity for cross-border payments/asset transfers, with over 15% of oil settled in BTC
- Wallet activity in conflict regions surges, making crypto a “free passage under sanctions”
- Decentralization features highlighted, long-term benefits for crypto’s resistance to censorship and cross-border value transfer

- Short-term panic has been released, BTC back above $66,000
- Goldman Sachs and other institutions warn: Volatility may continue in the coming weeks, ongoing monitoring of the situation and dollar trend is needed

- Short-term: Escalation of conflict → decline; easing of tensions → rebound
- Medium-term: Watch oil prices, inflation, Federal Reserve interest rates
- Long-term: Geopolitical conflicts and sanctions → Accelerate the demand for crypto in cross-border and censorship-resistant scenarios
BTC-4,42%
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