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Attention: CPI data will be released tonight at 20:30. The intense volatility moment is coming again. Currently, the bulls and bears are quite tense, so it's time for a fierce scramble!
Maybe the fluctuation range isn't that large, but the need for bulls and bears to show their muscles is definitely there!
Looking at the past year's trend of CPI, the first half of 2025 shows a completely asymmetric pattern with ups and downs. Influenced by factors such as government shutdowns, CPI in the second half of 2025 continues to decline, indicating that inflation is effectively under control. This is also one of the reasons for the interest rate cuts in the second half of 2025.
Tonight's data is expected to be 0.3%, which is 0.1% higher than the previous value.
Coupled with the recent surge in oil prices,
a slightly higher expectation is fully acceptable.
Therefore, the market will face some suppression.
Currently, based on the trend and CPI,
there are signs that the short-term bears are gaining strength.
Today's long entry points are slightly more cautious than last night.
The critical point for bulls and bears on the 1-hour chart is testing from bullish to bearish.
On the 5-minute and 15-minute charts, rebound signals indicate a need to short.
This is a very short-term downward demand, and rebounds can be opportunities to short.
Watch whether the momentum can push the 1-hour chart into a bearish trend. If the downward force is stronger, then the 4-hour, 2-hour, and 1-hour charts may face a correction phase, and the market in the second half of the week will be quite cautious.
#US February CPI upcoming release