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#原油价格回落 #eth #国际能源署提议石油储备释放
I suddenly realized Trump's strategy: the Iran conflict is to prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
If the Iran conflict ends shortly, the U.S. can control Iran to obtain a large amount of crude oil, causing oil prices to fall; if it doesn't end soon, rising oil prices can be used to pressure the G7 to release oil, causing oil prices to drop. Additionally, the non-farm payroll data from a month ago showed a cooling job market, which could give Trump leverage to demand a rate cut from the Federal Reserve.
Otherwise, by the time the new Federal Reserve Chair takes office in June, even if rates are cut immediately, four months won't be enough to save the U.S. economy. Meanwhile, the governor and mayor elections start in November, which will determine the second half of his presidential term.
As long as tonight's CPI data approaches 2% and the G7 releases oil, a rate cut by the Federal Reserve could happen very soon.