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$BTC
Probability of direction: short-term growth is more likely (the probability ratio of bullish/bearish scenario ≈ 63/37). A return to the range of 68,000 – 70,500 USDT is most probable, supported by institutional buying and funding stabilization.
Bullish scenario: ETF financial inflows (**+115 million USDT**) and active savings among large holders (long-term holders own **14.58 million BTC**) create a foundation for upward movement. RSI is close to the neutral zone, allowing further recovery with increased demand at **68,000 USDT**.
Short-term buy📈
Entry: 68,200 USDT (position share 60 %)
Stop-loss: 66,000 USDT
Take-profit: 70,500 USDT
Bearish scenario: a technical pullback is possible amid increased miner sales or escalating geopolitical risk. MACD weakens on minute intervals, allowing for correction to the support phase of **67,000 USDT**.
Short-term sell📉
Entry: 69,800 USDT
Stop-loss: 71,200 USDT
Take-profit: 67,000 USDT