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In the afternoon, an old friend came to me to talk about the experience of this round of bull market, and the main point of the conversation was that the copycat was too disappointing. This is true. In fact, playing cottages depends on the stage, and when bears and cows alternate, you have to buy cottages first, because they pull fiercely. For example, in the second half of 2022, I bought all the mainstream cottages such as Gala, Mana, DOGE, and SOL at 160W at BTC 17000, and then on New Year's Day in 2023, they began to skyrocket, rising to 3.18, and the cottages increased by an average of 3 times, and then began to switch to BTC and ETH. Later, I did more than one year on the currency standard, earned a lot of chips, and reached the top in a year and a half (I don't need BTC to rise to 10W to make a lot of money, and 6W is enough). Therefore, copycats still have to play, and most of the copycats have a very limited stage to make money, all of which are in the bear-bull alternation period, that is, the period when BTC slowly climbs from the bottom of the bear market before the halving. It can be seen that the stage of making money in this round of bull market is that the BTC price is at 17000-73000, and the more BTC goes above 7W, the more blood-sucking it gets, and the more most cottages go down, after all, the capital is profitable, institutions only buy BTC, and cottages are only bought by retail investors.
Therefore, in the bull market in each round of halving, if you want to play millions with hundreds of thousands of principals, one or two million to tens of millions, the core stage is to grab the bear tail heavy position to enter the market, first buy the mainstream copycat, rebound for three months and then change to BTC, and then use BTC, SOL and so on as chips to do long to earn BTC and SOL, until the BTC halving day, after the halving day, the market enters the second half of the bull market fluctuations also begin to increase, you have to change the strategy, most of the chips switch to BTC, A small number of cottages are shipped at high prices, and a small part of the funds are made U-standard. It's the fastest and most stable.
And then, at what stage is it now? A lot has been talked about in the past two months, and this year is a bull and bear alternation. In fact, the trend is obvious, even if the bull market is not really over, the market has entered the bear market in advance. It's just that many people are unwilling and are always thinking about miracles happening. In terms of contracts, 80% of the time this year will be short, and 20% of the time will be long. On the spot, when the price is high, it is necessary to reduce and clear positions one by one, and stock up in advance for the bottom of the next round of bear market. Only by seizing a heavy blow near the lowest point of a bear market can your life be reversed, and you will have to fight for many years less.