Retail investors in the United States have become slightly more optimistic about the stock market outlook for the next six months, but sentiment remains below historical averages. This week, bullish sentiment rose to 21.6%, while bearish sentiment fell to 58.1%. The AAII has maintained a bearish outlook on the stock market for the fourth consecutive week, with the proportion remaining above 57%. Nearly three-quarters of respondents believe there is a high likelihood of a recession, with 50.4% indicating "above normal levels" and 21.7% believing it is "very likely."