Los aranceles pueden causar inflación, pero la Reserva Federal no lo dirá.

Gate.io News December 4 - Trump has promised to impose comprehensive tariffs on imported goods when he returns to the White House. During his first term, Federal Reserve staff simulated similar scenarios and concluded that inflation would accelerate but not last long. As tariffs were ultimately deemed a drag on the economy, they recommended lowering interest rates as the best remedy. However, there are two main obstacles to adopting this approach now. First, the Federal Reserve has not yet fully overcome the problem of price pumping after the epidemic. Second, the Fed was severely criticized for describing the price pump as “temporary.” Therefore, the last thing Powell and his colleagues want to do is to underestimate the soaring prices and think they will not last. Deutsche Bank economist Justin Weidner, who is based in the United States, said, “Even a price pump that is seen as temporary may prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, or at least keep them in a wait-and-see attitude, preventing them from cutting interest rates sharply as they originally hoped. They must admit the actual inflation rate. Perhaps they can use words such as ‘due to the tariff effect, inflation has risen’ instead of ‘temporary’ or ‘temporary,’ clearly indicating that this is the result of tariffs rather than demand-driven.”