March 15, 2026

The overall market continues to stabilize. Over the past couple of days, I came across a news story that Bitcoin has begun implementing plans to resist quantum computing attacks. As everyone knows, the biggest threat to Bitcoin is quantum computers. Quantum computers based on quantum theory have already been developed by humans, though the current technological level is limited. How should we understand this? Quantum computers in laboratories are already in a usable state, but their current capabilities are limited. To use an analogy, it's equivalent to a calculator that can only perform addition and subtraction within 10, but as scientists continue their development, future quantum computers will reach true commercial-level applications. Once that happens, Bitcoin wallets would become insecure.

However, the threat that quantum computers pose to the Bitcoin network is not destructive in nature. Rather, it involves deriving private keys from public keys through reverse calculation. As long as future Bitcoin addresses can solve the issue of public key exposure during the usage process, the network can avoid being attacked by quantum computers. This is one of the latest technical development roadmaps in the Bitcoin community, outlined in the BIP-360 proposal. Since the technical roadmap has already taken precautions, we can say with relative confidence that future quantum computing threats to Bitcoin may not be a major concern.

Anyway, back to the market conditions—over the weekend, there hasn't been any particularly significant price fluctuations. The rally and pullback action in Bitcoin and Ethereum has not broken down, but rather maintained hovering at relatively elevated levels. This is a good sign. According to this trend, there is a relatively small probability of forming a breakthrough scenario next week, and a higher probability of refreshing the highs from over a month ago.