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March 17, 2026
The recent market trend has been quite good. I've woken up several days in a row to see new daily highs in price. I remember when the price was in a downtrend before, it typically started declining in the evening and early morning hours. From this timing pattern of price movements, it appears that foreign users are becoming the main drivers of cryptocurrency, and price discovery has indeed shifted to the hands of old American capital led by Wall Street.
From this perspective, we have absolutely no need to worry about whether cryptocurrency will have a bull market in the future.

March 16, 2026
Monday's performance was quite good. Bitcoin's price broke through 74,000 at its highest, refreshing the high point from over a month ago. Ethereum did the same, nearly touching $2,300. Compared to the sluggish trends of the past few months, the recent weeks of market action can be described as noteworthy. Therefore, we have reason to continue looking forward to the broader market's performance ahead. Generally speaking, during the consolidation phase within a major downtrend, we shouldn't have overly high expectations for rebound gains. However, I believe there are several supp

March 15, 2026
The overall market continues to stabilize. Over the past couple of days, I came across a news story that Bitcoin has begun implementing plans to resist quantum computing attacks. As everyone knows, the biggest threat to Bitcoin is quantum computers. Quantum computers based on quantum theory have already been developed by humans, though the current technological level is limited. How should we understand this? Quantum computers in laboratories are already in a usable state, but their current capabilities are limited. To use an analogy, it's equivalent to a calculator that can onl

March 14, 2026
First, let me talk about yesterday's rebound. Bitcoin refreshed a one-month high again, almost touching 74,000, and Ethereum did the same, breaking through $2,200 directly. Although both pulled back today, Bitcoin is still above 70,000 and ETH hasn't broken below 2,000. Overall, this rebound move looks stronger than the previous ones.
Actually, if you ignore the decline over the past few months and set aside the overall downtrend for now, the current rebound trend shows a very clear startup signal. The reason we haven't seen a strong rally candle is mainly due to insufficient ma

March 13, 2026
Saw the news today. Due to crude oil prices skyrocketing, around the 20th of this month, domestic refined oil prices will experience another round of increases. The impact of the US-Iran war on ordinary people is gradually amplifying. Over the past two days, there have been reports of Iran wanting to negotiate, but the conditions they're opening are rather unreasonable. Therefore, this matter is currently far from simple. As long as the Strait of Hormuz hasn't completely opened for navigation, crude oil prices cannot stabilize.
In the short term, this may not have a particularly

March 12, 2026
In recent days, I made a video about AAVE. The main content of the video is a review of AAVE's development process and a summary of the recent heated governance crisis. You can watch the video on YouTube; here is a brief overview to provide some advice and assistance to those interested in investing in AAVE.
First of all, AAVE is now a typical DAO project, but a series of recent centralized actions and behaviors by founder Stani have caused dissatisfaction among other teams. Due to irreconcilable conflicts, a very core technical team and an important operational team both left t

March 10, 2026
The war between the US and Iran seems to have calmed down a bit. According to Trump's optimistic estimate, this war is expected to end soon. Following this news, crude oil prices surged then pulled back. If this war has any impact on us, I can only say it’s the oil prices. Starting early this morning, gasoline prices rose across the board, causing everyone to queue up for fuel yesterday.
Additionally, reports indicate that due to Iran's indiscriminate missile attacks on Dubai earlier, the housing prices in Dubai plummeted by 20% within just a few weeks. It’s hard to imagine—afte

March 9, 2026
As the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, several Middle Eastern oil-producing countries have reduced or halted production, causing crude oil prices to surge from just over $70 to $120 in a matter of days. However, gold, which should theoretically continue to rise, has actually dipped slightly in the past two days. The relationship between financial assets and global affairs has never been a simple point-to-point model, nor is it black and white. The undercurrents of capital flow make this complex world more intriguing, attracting more people to follow the tide. Perhaps, in a few d

Happy holidays to all the female fans. Went out shopping today, taking a day off.

March 7, 2026
As expected, the concerns I mentioned yesterday have come true. Major cryptocurrencies remain weak, with Bitcoin falling below 70,000 and Ethereum losing the 2,000 mark. This means that the anticipated rebound is still difficult to initiate in the short term. However, there is still a glimmer of hope—after all, Bitcoin has hit a one-month high. But if the weak market sentiment persists after the weekend and doesn't improve, then the expected rebound will have to wait longer.
In the past few months, newly listed coins have continued to decline immediately after launch. This reflec

March 6, 2026
Today is Friday. For the overall market, the upcoming weekend actually increases the risk, mainly due to the significant uncertainty surrounding the war between the US, Israel, and Iran. Although Iran has been relatively quiet after launching missiles for several days, honestly, it’s not surprising for such a special country to do some extreme actions, especially since a new leader has recently been appointed. Last weekend, the sudden US-Israel attack on Iran caused gold prices to spike sharply in a short period. Since gold was not in official trading hours, the impact on various

March 5, 2026
Yesterday the market surged dramatically, marking the first time in a month that Bitcoin rebounded above 70,000, and Ethereum nearly touched $2,200, hitting a new one-month high. Although this rebound has pulled back slightly so far, I believe the strong trend may continue. One point worth noting is that during this rally, Bitcoin's contract open interest also hit a new high, and the decrease in the long-short ratio indicates a clear sign of major players' involvement.
Of course, even in the main upward wave that signals a rebound, there may be further dips and shakeouts along th

March 4, 2026
These days I've been exploring new things, specifically analyzing the behavior of major players through data. Starting from the actual market movements, I delve deeply into the flow of funds behind the data. In my opinion, this approach is logically feasible. Of course, many people might study candlestick charts. From a deeper perspective, candlesticks are also indicators that reflect fund flow, but they are a secondary processing of data, with more obvious lag. Moreover, since candlestick charts are very mature, major players can manipulate the market by "drawing" candlesticks t

March 3, 2026
In terms of market trends, recently it has been sideways, with Bitcoin fluctuating wildly above $60,000, and Ethereum hovering around $2,000. For the overall bear market rhythm, if this level cannot hold, it will definitely break below again. But as I always say, in my opinion, there is a high probability that this level will form a temporary bottom, and based on experience, as the fluctuation time continues,

February 28, 2026
The United States has once again taken action against Iran, with Israel and the U.S. military launching an operation codenamed "Judas Shield." Multiple explosions occurred in Tehran, the capital of Iran. Although the U.S. had issued ample warnings about this military action, it is expected that financial markets and commodity markets will experience intense price volatility. Today is Saturday, and the U.S. stock market has not yet opened. From the sharp decline in the crypto market, it’s clear that the impact of this military operation on the U.S. stock market is unavoidable.

February 27, 2026
After a slight rebound, the market has entered a sideways consolidation phase. Currently, Bitcoin is above 67,000, and Ethereum is temporarily above $2,000. The market trend is not strong; the recent decline does not yet constitute a double bottom, so the expectation is for continued sideways movement. However, I have a hunch that the market has entered a strong support zone. After sufficient shakeout, there is a chance for a rebound rally. Although it cannot reverse the bear market trend, a rebound followed by a deep bear is more in line with the current market rhythm.
Recen

February 25, 2026
The market has rebounded slightly again. Bitcoin rose from 62,500, and Ethereum just touched $1,800. In terms of price, it seems to complete a secondary bottoming process, but this rebound is relatively weak, not resembling the start of a rally. Therefore, it is expected that there will still be a period of stagnation. Actually, from the market sentiment, it’s already on the brink of despair. Even if prices drop again, it’s unlikely to attract much more capital. Currently, the main players are probably going to continue with frequent fluctuations and prolonged sideways tradin

February 24, 2026
The eighth day of the lunar calendar marks the resumption of work and good luck in starting up. The crypto market has also reopened, but not to pump prices, rather to initiate a new round of dumping. Currently, the decline in mainstream assets is understandable; Bitcoin is heading towards 60,000 USD, and Ethereum is continuously approaching its previous low of 1750 USD. Based on my previous analysis, this is a secondary retest on the daily chart. Removing the holiday休息时间, this timing is also quite reasonable. As for whether a successful secondary retest can lead to a small re