# BitcoinPriceAnalysis

#比特币价格分析 BTC $87,500, which has significantly deviated from the historical correlation with stocks and gold. According to PlanB's calculations, the theoretical price based on traditional correlation should be in the range of $4,500–$6,900, indicating a notable "decoupling" phenomenon at the current price.
The key question is: what are the structural reasons behind this decoupling?
Looking back at history, similar deviations in correlation have indeed occurred—during the period when Bitcoin was below $1,000, followed by an approximately 10x increase. However, it is important to note that the m

#比特币价格分析 Seeing Generation Z treat Bitcoin as a Christmas gift reminded me of a very real story.
A 22-year-old named Johnson invested $5,000 during the frenzy of 2021, only to see Solana cut in half. Even more painfully, he later preferred to receive real estate-related gifts rather than actively invest in cryptocurrencies again. This shift is quite telling—it actually reflects an important growth: after experiencing the true volatility of the market, young investors begin to understand what risk management really means.
I noticed a detail in the information that’s worth paying attention to:

#比特币价格分析 Bitcoin has dropped from $125,600 to $85,000, a decline of over 30%... Watching the K-line chart fluctuate dramatically, I feel quite nervous😅
I just looked into the information and realized that there is actually a logic behind this decline — Trump previously supported Bitcoin loudly, pushing the price up, and now the correction might be the market digesting it. But what excites me even more is the news from Hong Kong!🎉
Hong Kong is improving its virtual asset regulatory framework, and the "Stablecoin Regulations" have been introduced. It is expected to issue stablecoin licenses b

#比特币价格分析 Seeing Generation Z treat Bitcoin as a Christmas gift, what flashed through my mind was the frenzy of 2021. Wyatt Johnson spent 5,000 yuan to buy Solana back then, only to see it halve in value within a few months. Now, at 22 years old, he's still willing to receive crypto gifts—this shift in mindset is quite interesting.
Over a cycle of more than ten years, I've seen many such stories. Each wave of new capital entering the market is accompanied by similar narratives: this time is different, witnessing history, missing out means regret. But the real watershed is here—this generation

#比特币价格分析 Bitcoin at $87,500 has already clearly diverged from the correlation track of US stocks and gold—this signal is very important. Based on historical data, if we reverse engineer, considering the correlation with the stock market and gold, BTC should be in the $4,500-$6,900 range, but it is now far beyond this range, indicating that the market has already adopted a different pricing logic.
A similar decoupling phenomenon occurred when BTC was below $1,000, which was followed by approximately a tenfold increase. It sounds very tempting, but we need to be rational—historical patterns can

#比特币价格分析 Seeing the news about Hong Kong's完善虚拟资产监管框架, my first reaction is not excitement but more caution. Over the years, I've seen too many projects using "compliance" as a pretext to cut leeks.
Bitcoin has fallen from $125,600 to $85,000, a decline of over 30%, and there's worth pondering behind this data. During the time when Trump supported pushing prices higher, how many people were driven by FOMO and bought at high levels? The current correction is a real-world lesson.
Improving the regulatory framework indeed makes sense; the launch of Hong Kong dollar stablecoins and real-world comm

#比特币价格分析 Bitcoin at $87,500 has already clearly diverged from the trajectories of the stock market and gold. Based on historical correlation, it should be between $6,900 and $4,500 now, but it’s already way off that range.
This has happened before—when Bitcoin was under $1,000, it also decoupled, and then experienced a 10x rally. So many are wondering if history is about to repeat itself again this time.
However, PlanB also said that if the correlation is structurally changed, history might not repeat. In other words, no one can guarantee anything; ultimately, it’s up to time to verify. In th

#比特币价格分析 Recently, I came across a very interesting signal—gold has increased by 20%, silver has surged by as much as 64%, while during the same period, Bitcoin has actually retreated from its all-time high. Many people, upon seeing this comparison, might first think "Bitcoin is underperforming," but I believe this reflects a deeper systemic change.
The key point is that the sharp rise in precious metals is not traditional safe-haven behavior, but rather a strategic allocation by institutional investors amid geopolitical tensions and structural downward pressure on the dollar system. In other

#比特币价格分析 Half-Mu Xia's judgment is worth paying attention to—currently, it’s indeed no longer appropriate to be firmly bullish, but over-pessimism can also lead to being proven wrong. Recently, I’ve been reviewing the decision logic of several copy-trading accounts and found that the most vulnerable to losses are during these "extreme expectation" periods.
Key information to highlight: Bitcoin’s volatility has been squeezed to the extreme, and the direction is about to become clear. What does this mean? In the short term, it’s likely to be a repeated washout, so there’s no need to frequently

#比特币价格分析 Damn, is the US dollar about to collapse? 🚨 Gold and silver are soaring, but Bitcoin is just hovering around 90,000? What kind of operation is this!
Look closely at the data: gold has risen 20%, silver has jumped 64%, while BTC has fallen from 126,000 to 90,000... clearly undervalued! Analysts have all said, this is not just a simple safe haven, but a move by institutions—geopolitical tensions, Federal Reserve rate cuts, de-dollarization accelerating—all signs point in one direction.
Trump wants to actively cut rates, Peter Schiff is calling for the end of dollar hegemony... do you