New Linear Regression Models Predicts How High XRP Could Go

XRP3,13%
LUNA2,2%

While XRP has struggled with the rest of the crypto market, analyst EGRAG shows its linear regression model still points to bullish long-term targets.

Specifically, after a strong showing in July 2025, when it rallied by an impressive 35% to cross the $3 mark, XRP slipped into a bearish position the following months, collapsing by as much as 8.15% in August to lose the $3 mark. Despite a slight 2.55% recovery in September, XRP has maintained a downward trend since then.

Today, the crypto asset is down nearly 45% from its July 2025 peak, currently trading for $2.02, as the bears battle to flip the $2 level from support to resistance. Despite this recent downtrend, EGRAG Crypto has maintained his long-term bullish stance, as he continues to take data from chart structures.

XRP’s Interaction with the Regression Channel

It then places two parallel lines above and below that trend at equal distances, often based on price volatility. Notably, the center line shows the market’s average value, while the upper and lower lines serve as moving resistance and support levels.

Notably, data from EGRAG’s monthly chart shows that XRP slipped below the lower trendline of the channel during the contagion from the Terra collapse in May 2022 and remained underneath the channel until November 2024, when the Trump-led rally pushed prices toward $2.

XRP Regression Channel EGRAG CryptoXRP Regression Channel | EGRAG CryptoXRP slipped into the channel in December 2024 and January 2025. However, with the retracement in February 2025 and the price struggles throughout this year, XRP has again slipped below the lower trendline, currently battling to re-enter the channel

Three Important XRP Price Levels

According to EGRAG, there are three important price targets for XRP if the crypto asset overcomes bearish pressure and pushes into the linear regression channel. Notably, each price target aligns with a level within the regression channel.

Specifically, the first price level sits around the January 2025 high of $3.4, aligning with the lower trendline. EGRAG referred to the $3.4 mark as the mean reversion, noting that if XRP ever attempts to claim this area but faces rejection, this will represent one of its strongest bearish indicators. However, if XRP closes above this region, it will have entered bullish territory.

Meanwhile, the next price level rests on $10, representing the upper midline or two standard deviations above the regression midline (+2D). EGRAG believes XRP would witness full expansion at this point. Nonetheless, he confirmed that the price level in this area typically rises due to the logarithmic nature of the chart.

Importantly, the most bullish level is around $27, which marks the top of the channel. This area represents a 1,236% increase from XRP’s current price. According to EGRAG, several long-term confluences also lead to this $27. Last month, he suggested that XRP could follow two paths from the prevailing position, but both paths would still lead to the $27 price.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

AI Models Predict XRP Price for 2026, Forecasts Range from $1.58 to $3.85

Leading artificial intelligence models, including ChatGPT, Grok, Claude, Gemini, and others, have projected XRP's price by the end of 2026, with forecasts clustering between approximately $2 and $3 per coin.

CryptopulseElite31m ago

Ripple Splurges $750 Million on Share Buyback While XRP Continues Declining: Why Is the Company's Strategy Diverging from Token Value?

Ripple announced a $750 million stock buyback, with its company valuation potentially rising to $50 billion, yet the XRP token price continues to decline, exposing a decoupling phenomenon between the company and the token. Market confidence in Ripple and XRP is gradually diverging, requiring investors to clarify whether they are investing in company strength or token value, as they face challenges from regulation, utility, and market patience.

PANews3h ago

XRP Today's News: Rare Bottom Signal Appears, Technical Analysis Suggests Price Reversal Approaching

According to Glassnode data, XRP exhibits two major indicator signals indicating that the price is below its fair value, and the realized profit/loss ratio is approaching 1.0, which historically suggests a possible rebound. Additionally, XRP is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with a key resistance at $1.50 and support at $1.30, as the market is about to experience a breakout in a specific direction.

MarketWhisper3h ago

US XRP spot ETF saw net outflows of $6.08 million yesterday, while SOL spot ETF saw net inflows of $3.92 million

Recently, data showed that as of 3 PM ET on March 12, the US XRP spot ETF saw net outflows of $6.0806 million, while the SOL spot ETF saw net inflows of $3.9248 million. The cumulative historical net outflows for XRP reached $17.8894 million, while SOL reached $961 million.

GateNews4h ago

Yesterday, the US XRP spot ETF experienced net outflows of $6.0806 million, with 21Shares and Franklin products leading the decline.

According to SoSoValue data, on March 12, the US XRP Spot ETF had net outflows of $6.0806 million, with 21Shares XRP ETF experiencing net outflows of $3.0891 million. The current total assets under management are $968 million, with cumulative historical net inflows reaching $1.208 billion.

GateNews4h ago
Comment
0/400
No comments