Mike Novogratz Says Crypto’s Age of Speculation May Be Ending as Institutions Take Lead

CryptoNewsLand
BTC-0,41%
  • Institutional investors now guide crypto markets as retail demand for extreme gains continues to fade.

  • The FTX collapse reshaped risk management and pushed investors to focus on trust and transparency.

  • October liquidations exposed fragile momentum while tokenized real world assets gained attention.

Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz says big institutions steer the crypto market. He made the remarks at the CNBC Digital Finance Forum in New York. He said large firms now look for stability instead of high-risk trades. That shift, he explained, signals a different stage for the industry.

Crypto’s ‘age of speculation’ may be over, says Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz https://t.co/P7Lxv8kAQm

— CNBC (@CNBC) February 10, 2026

He recalled that earlier cycles depended on retail excitement. Small investors once rushed in hoping for sharp gains. Many targeted life-changing returns within short periods. Now, that aggressive appetite has cooled.

Institutions Shift Market Priorities

Novogratz said retail traders once powered strong rallies in digital assets. Social momentum and fast-moving narratives often drove prices higher. In contrast, institutions focus on steady yearly performance. They approach crypto with portfolio discipline.

Large firms study liquidity conditions before deploying capital. They examine custody arrangements and regulatory exposure as well. They also control leverage and spread risk across assets. This method changes how money flows through the market.

As institutional participation grows, market swings look different. Sudden spikes still happen, yet longer trends carry more weight. Moreover, capital tends to stay in place longer. The overall tone appears more measured than in past cycles.

FTX Collapse Altered Investor Behavior

The collapse of FTX in 2022 marked a turning point. Bitcoin dropped roughly 78% from $69,000 to about $15,700 in November. That decline shook confidence across the sector. Many investors reconsidered how they managed risk.

Novogratz viewed the episode as a deep break in trust. Afterward, firms strengthened internal reviews and oversight. Retail traders cut leverage and reassessed exposure. At the same time, calls for transparency grew louder.

The fallout still shapes decisions today. Investors now pay closer attention to balance sheets. They examine counterparties before committing funds. Risk awareness remains higher than before the collapse.

October Liquidations Exposed Fragile Momentum

Another shock hit the market on October 10. A wave of liquidations swept through major tokens. The move forced many retail traders and some market makers out. Selling pressure rose without a clear external trigger.

Novogratz said traders struggled to identify a single cause. The absence of a clear catalyst fueled confusion. Forced selling then deepened losses across exchanges. Weak retail participation slowed any immediate rebound.

He stressed that narratives often guide crypto cycles. These stories take time to build interest and attract capital. When heavy liquidations remove participants, recovery takes longer. Momentum does not return overnight.

Novogratz expects speculation to remain part of crypto markets. However, he believes attention will shift toward real-world use cases. He pointed to tokenized real-world assets as a likely driver of growth. He also said lawmakers show support for the CLARITY Act, which could bring clearer market structure rules.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

On-chain analyst: Bitcoin market overheating phenomenon eliminated, but seller pressure remains unrelieved

On March 18, on-chain data analyst Axel released a report indicating that the Bitcoin market has moved out of an overheated state, but selling pressure still exists and no reversal signals have appeared. The MVRV Z-Score indicator has dropped to 0.674, suggesting that the bubble has been deflated; meanwhile, the aSOPR indicator remains below 1.0, indicating that the market is still in a loss-selling phase, with a rebound facing the risk of selling pressure.

GateNewsJust Now

Ethereum Surges 25% in March, Institutional Buying and ETF Issuance Drive ETH Price Gains

Analysts point out that Ethereum has recently outperformed the S&P 500 index, though Federal Reserve policy decisions may impact its upward momentum. Despite prices remaining below last year's highs, institutional investors are actively increasing positions, demonstrating strengthened confidence in Ethereum, while the launch of new ETFs also reflects sustained market interest in digital assets and decentralized finance.

GateNews6m ago

Bitcoin Faces Obstacle at $75,000: Federal Reserve Meeting and Middle East Situation May Become Key Turning Points

Bitcoin's upward momentum weakened after touching $75,000, with market concerns about a near-term peak. Despite continued institutional accumulation pushing total open interest to $58 billion, prices face pressure from macro uncertainty. Bitcoin ETF inflows exceeding $1.5 billion support the price. Market focus remains on the Federal Reserve meeting and geopolitical situation, which may impact near-term trends.

GateNews23m ago

Why Does Ethereum Price "Rise with Bitcoin but Ignore Fundamentals"? Bitwise Reveals: 65% of Price Movement Determined by Bitcoin

Bitwise's research indicates that Ethereum's price movements are primarily driven by Bitcoin and macroeconomic liquidity, with relatively weak influence from on-chain fundamentals. The model shows that Bitcoin volatility can explain 65% of Ethereum's volatility, while accommodative monetary conditions and ETF fund flows also contribute to Ethereum's price. The current market views Ethereum as a "network commodity," and its price movements in the short term may still be dominated by Bitcoin and the liquidity environment.

GateNews28m ago

BitMine Stock Price Surges 16%: Ethereum Price Mismatch Creates Arbitrage Window, $24 Becomes Key Watershed

BitMine (BMNR) stock price has surged recently, with a single-day gain of nearly 14% on March 16, closely related to its held Ethereum assets. However, BMNR and Ethereum show a phase mismatch, leading to short-term decoupling. Institutional funds are arbitraging this opportunity, with significantly increased trading volume. The technical side shows positive signals, but key resistance is around the $24 level, with attention needed on breakthrough performance at this level and subsequent price action.

GateNews36m ago

Citi significantly lowers Bitcoin and Ethereum target prices, with policy delays constraining upside potential

Citigroup has lowered its 12-month target prices for Bitcoin and Ethereum to $112,000 and $3,175 respectively, mainly due to the slower-than-expected progress of U.S. policy initiatives. Although the target prices have been reduced, both assets still have room for upward movement. The market's diminished expectations for demand growth make the sustainability of capital inflows a critical factor. If regulatory conditions improve, the target prices may be raised; otherwise, the downward adjustment will be justified.

GateNews42m ago
Comment
0/400
No comments