The Federal Reserve has a 90.2% probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in March.

ChainCatcher reports that according to Jintou, CME “Federal Reserve Watch” shows a 90.2% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until March, and a 9.8% chance of a 25 basis point cut. By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 26.4%, the probability of holding rates steady is 71.5%, and the probability of a total 50 basis point cut is 2%. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 51.8%.

View Original
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

Powell's Showdown with Justice Department: If Investigated, Chair Will Remain as Governor After Term Ends

Federal Reserve Chair Powell may remain as a governor after his term ends, breaking precedent. Documents show Powell hopes to focus on family after the investigation concludes. Currently, Trump is pressuring rate cuts, but lacks the votes to support a new Fed chair.

GateNews22m ago

Ledger Executive: If the US Bans Stablecoin Yields, Other Countries May Fill the Regulatory Gap

Ledger Asia-Pacific Head Shibayama stated that if the US implements a stablecoin yield ban, international discussions will increase. Countries like Australia have already provided regulatory exemptions, and currently most stablecoins do not offer yields to users. US regulatory bill progress has been slow due to opposition to prohibition clauses supported by the banking industry. Asian financial institutions' focus has shifted toward financial product tokenization and stablecoin issuance, rather than crypto-native products like DeFi.

GateNews26m ago

XRP Today's News: Oil Price Rebound Drives XRP to Outperform the Market, Whale Funds Turn Positive

As of March 15, XRP gained over 4% against the backdrop of the oil crisis, demonstrating counter-trend strength, while whale fund flows turned positive, indicating that large holders have returned to accumulation mode. Despite facing ETF outflow pressure and macroeconomic uncertainty, XRP's regulatory status has been clarified, and long-term institutional allocation remains active. This phenomenon has attracted close market attention to its trend changes.

MarketWhisper2h ago

Gate Daily Report (March 16): "Super Central Bank Week" Interest Rate Decisions Incoming; US Reveals Iran Conflict Resolution Timeline

Bitcoin (BTC) staged a strong rebound over the weekend, trading around $72,490 as of March 16. "Super Central Bank Week" is upon us, as the shadow of the Iran conflict looms over global interest rate decisions. U.S. Energy Secretary Reit stated that the Iran conflict will end "in the coming weeks," after which oil supply will rebound and energy prices will decline. The International Energy Agency revealed that emergency reserve oil will soon begin flowing into global markets.

MarketWhisper3h ago

Moody's: The Bank of Japan may keep interest rates unchanged this week, with a forecast to raise them to 1% by mid-year

Gate News reports that on March 16, Moody's Analytics stated in a report that the Bank of Japan is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged this week and may raise rates to 1% around mid-year. The report indicates that Middle East conflicts have increased the risk of inflation re-accelerating, but the uncertainty brought by the conflict will cause the Bank of Japan to remain on the sidelines for now. If the yen weakens further, it may prompt the Bank of Japan to raise rates earlier later this year. Moody's Analytics also stated that slowing wage growth and unstable actual economic data make it difficult to justify an aggressive rate hike path above 1%.

GateNews3h ago

Seven major global central banks announce interest rate decisions this week, with market expectations affected by the Iran war

This week, major central banks worldwide will announce their interest rate decisions, with the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and others releasing relevant statements. Due to the impact of the Iran conflict, interest rate markets have shifted from rate-cut expectations to rate-hike expectations, and expectations for energy price increases have risen.

GateNews4h ago
Comment
0/400
Rotschildvip
· 02-16 00:50
There is a plot. Somebody figured out that AI will hurt politically (resources, jobs, prices, tax) and now they will crack down on AI and the market will hurt. Also, someone will short the AI market and make a fortune without even asking for it. A marvelous business. Big and Beautiful.
Reply0
Rotschildvip
· 02-15 22:17
And also data centers will act like charity institutions. Read the CNBC Navarro interview: "Navarro says Trump administration may force data center builders like Meta to ‘internalize’ costs"
Reply0