U.S. President Donald J. Trump announced today on social media that he has instructed the Secretary of War and other relevant government agencies to begin identifying and releasing all government files related to “aliens, extraterrestrial life, Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP), and Unidentified Flying Objects (UFO).” He emphasized that “all highly complex but extremely important information” will be disclosed, and stated, “God bless America.”
Trump’s statement quickly triggered market reactions. According to the decentralized prediction market Polymarket, the market price for “Will the United States confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life before 2027?” surged after the news, jumping from nearly 10% to around 20%, reaching a recent high.
(What is a prediction market? Polymarket beginner’s guide: betting methods, settlement processes, and risk analysis)
The rules of the bet state that as long as “the U.S. President, cabinet members, members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any federal agency” explicitly confirm the existence of “extraterrestrial life or its technology” before December 31, 2026, the market will settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No.
Currently, no further details have been announced by officials, nor have any new files been made public. The market’s subsequent movement will depend on whether the U.S. government releases concrete evidence that can be regarded as a “definitive conclusion.”
This article, “Trump orders UFO files to be released, Polymarket ‘extraterrestrial life confirmation’ bet surges to 20%,” first appeared on Chain News ABMedia.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Prediction Markets Anticipate Blue Sweep in Upcoming Congress Midterm Elections
Kalshi and Polymarket anticipate that the Democratic Party will sweep both the House and the Senate in the midterm elections slated for November. There is a close to 50% chance of this outcome, while the second option, where Democrats win the House but lose the Senate, reaches 37%.
Blue Sweep:
Coinpedia5h ago
Polymarket Data: The probability of Bitcoin rising back to $100,000 within the year is 40%
Gate News reports that on March 15, Polymarket prediction market data showed that the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 within the year is 40%, the probability of reaching $90,000 is 53%, and the probability of reaching $80,000 is 76%. Additionally, the probability of BTC dropping to $50,000 within the year is 61%.
GateNews5h ago
Polymarket Launches New Market: When Will Iran's Military Operations End, No Probability 87%
Gate News reports that on March 15, Polymarket launched a new prediction market yesterday asking "By what date will military action against Iran end?" The current probability for No is 87%.
GateNews7h ago
Ethereum Has Nearly 60% Chance of Losing Second Spot - U.Today
Ethereum faces a 57% chance of losing its rank as the second-largest cryptocurrency to Tether (USDT) by year-end, up from 14% two months ago, as pressure mounts from USDT's rapid growth.
UToday8h ago
CFTC Issues Guidance That Could Ignite Massive Prediction Markets Expansion
U.S. regulators move to rein in fast-growing prediction markets as event-based derivatives gain traction, with the CFTC warning exchanges to strengthen surveillance, prevent manipulation, and ensure new contracts tied to real-world outcomes meet federal trading rules.
CFTC Issues New Guidance
Coinpedia13h ago
某预测市场平台加密货币板块新增 DOGE、BNB、HYPE 价格预测
Gate News 消息,3 月 14 日,某预测市场平台在其加密货币板块新增 DOGE、BNB、HYPE 三个币种的价格预测功能。
GateNews17h ago