On February 24, on-chain investigator ZachXBT posted on social media that he will release a major investigation into one of the “most profitable companies in the crypto industry” on February 26, predicting a rapid market surge. Betting volume around the event of “the next crypto company exposed for insider trading” has approached $3 million, with market sentiment clearly shifting toward high speculation and information warfare.
This prediction contract mainly reflects traders’ judgments about potential targets rather than confirmed facts. As a blockchain-based prediction platform, Polymarket allows users to trade real-money contracts on real-world events. Its odds are often seen as real-time indicators of market confidence and expectation distribution, making it an important tool for observing unresolved events in the crypto industry after the 2024 US elections.
As of early Asian trading hours, Solana ecosystem liquidity platform Meteora leads with approximately a 43% probability, contributing over $300,000 in trading volume. Community discussions mainly focus on Meme coin initial liquidity mechanisms and early price fluctuation beneficiaries. Additionally, Axiom and Pump.fun follow with 13% and 12% shares respectively, with Pump.fun having the highest single trading volume, indicating significant market disagreement rather than a unified consensus.
Meanwhile, Jupiter and a certain CEX also rank highly in odds, reflecting ongoing discussions about Solana DeFi routing mechanisms, token launch schedules, and “whale-friendly liquidity.” Notably, the odds for Axiom, Pump.fun, and Jupiter have dropped over 30% since opening, while Meteora’s advantage has widened, suggesting speculative funds are shifting from dispersed guesses to more concentrated judgments.
However, prediction markets fundamentally price beliefs rather than evidence. Current odds only represent the collective guesses of thousands of participants based on public information, historical investigation styles, and social cues, and do not constitute any substantive accusations. As the investigation release date approaches, crypto market sentiment, insider trading risk expectations, and on-chain investigation developments may continue to influence project attention and capital flows in the short term.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Polymarket predicts a 64% probability that the Backpack token's FDV will exceed $300 million on its first day of launch
Gate News, as of March 12, according to relevant page information, Polymarket displayed on March 13 that the probability of predicting "Backpack token's FDV exceeding $300 million on the first day of listing" is 64%, while the probability of FDV being greater than $500 million is 30%. Previously, Backpack announced that it will conduct a TGE (Token Generation Event) on March 23.
GateNews6m ago
CFTC Chair: Will Issue Regulatory Guidance for Prediction Markets to Establish Clear Rules for New Types of Event Contracts
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig announced the release of clear guidance targeting prediction markets to help trading platforms understand CFTC expectations for new contracts, ensure transparent rules, and prevent market manipulation and abusive conduct.
GateNews3h ago
US CFTC Chair: Will Issue Clear Guidance on Prediction Markets to Prevent Manipulation and Insider Trading
US CFTC Chair Mike Selig released prediction market guidance aimed at helping trading platforms understand regulatory expectations to ensure transparent rules for new contracts and prevent manipulation and abuse. Additionally, a proposed rule prenotice will be released to establish clear rules of conduct for new markets.
GateNews3h ago
Utah HB243 Bill Defines Prediction Markets as Gambling, Kalshi Files Federal Lawsuit
Utah HB243 bill classifies "proposition betting" as gambling and is expected to be signed by the governor, which will ban platforms like Kalshi from operating. Kalshi has filed a federal lawsuit, arguing that its contracts are derivatives. The CFTC chairman stated that the agency will defend its regulatory authority.
GateNews6h ago
Two high win-rate addresses invested $15,000, betting that the US-Iran ceasefire will not happen before May
On March 12, PolyBeats detected two high-win-rate addresses betting on prediction markets that "the US and Iran will not cease fire before May," with a combined investment of $15,000 at a current price of 52.5¢. Meanwhile, Iran escalated attacks on Gulf shipping, causing a halt to traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, with analysts seeing no signs of de-escalation.
GateNews7h ago
Wall Street Giants Bet on Prediction Markets: Open Interest Reaches New $1.2 Billion High, US Congress Prepares to Regulate
As prediction market trading volumes expand, major Wall Street brokerage firms are gradually entering the sector. However, legislators have expressed concerns about potential risks and plan to implement new regulatory measures. Institutional capital and young investors are driving market growth, but regulators are increasingly focused on the rapid expansion.
GateNews8h ago
