2025-12-22 12:20:59

Recently, an interesting phenomenon is worth pondering: XRP ETF has seen a continuous net inflow of over $1 billion in the past 25 days, yet the trading market has been lingering around $2 without the expected strong rebound. What is hidden behind this?

On the surface, the large influx of institutional funds through compliant channels should be a huge positive. However, upon closer examination, signs of trouble emerge—while the visible buying is indeed increasing, covert selling is also quietly taking place. Large holders and project parties may precisely view the inflow of funds brought by the ETF as the best exit window. The key is that these exits can be dispersed across countless addresses, making them difficult to detect.

This reflects a harsh market truth: good news that everyone already knows often loses its ability to drive prices up. When events like the approval of an ETF and the influx of funds become a widely recognized consensus, their role as an "information asymmetry advantage" has already been fully digested.

So how do we look at the next step?

**Breaking linear thinking is crucial.** Don't simply equate capital inflows with price increases. In the crypto market, capital inflows are sometimes precisely used to test the market's support strength and to find the optimal selling point.

**What truly drives prices are those things that have not yet been priced in.** It could be a significant victory in a key lawsuit, or a strategic partnership on an ecological level; in short, it's new variables that the market has not yet fully reacted to. Events that have already occurred, no matter how important, lose their appeal once they become consensus.

**Finally, we must respect the signals of the market itself.** If such a strong buying pressure cannot push the price, it indicates that there is indeed a stronger force suppressing it. Sometimes, the wisest choice is to patiently observe until a clear technical breakthrough occurs.

The deepest trap in the crypto market is treating a well-known story as the secret to wealth. The real opportunities often lie in the gaps between what everyone sees and what everyone does not understand. Making money relies on awareness and patience, not on a desire for quick gains.

XRP-0,14%

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consensus_failure

· 2025-12-25 01:01

One billion dollars can't even move the price, indicating that big players have already started unloading, and institutions are just the bagholders. It's not strong buying pressure, but more aggressive selling. The positive effects of ETFs have long been priced in. Once again, a death caused by information asymmetry. The question is, why am I always the last to know? Fund inflows ≠ price increase. This logic has been broken too many times. Wait, are institutions really building positions? Or are big players using the inflow window to liquidate? The latter seems more likely. Seeing such strong buying pressure fail to move the price is indeed a bit terrifying. Better to wait and see for now. The fact that ETFs are involved in this event already signifies consensus. It has long been priced in. Now, who can find the next unknown? Another wave of retail investors being tricked in—this is a routine, right? Hardly moving the price with a billion dollars—just thinking about it is ridiculous.

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LidoStakeAddict

· 2025-12-24 08:47

10 billion dollars can't move the price, this is the most terrifying signal --- Another good show, big players are accumulating while selling off, retail investors are still calculating break-even points --- Basically, it's the disappearance of information asymmetry; consensus is a trap --- I just want to know how many people are still waiting for this rebound --- Really, compared to how much money flows in, I'm more concerned about who is dumping behind the scenes --- So now it's about finding those things the market hasn't reacted to yet? Too difficult, brother --- ETFs should be a positive, but it turned out to be the best opportunity for selling off, how ironic --- Patience and watching is the most poisonous advice; I can't afford this kind of patience --- This set of theories sounds good, but I don't know who can truly hold on to the bottom --- Institutional orders ≠ guaranteed price increase; this lesson has been learned

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FrogInTheWell

· 2025-12-23 15:04

It's this trap again… Watching ETF inflows dumping is truly a classic web3 script.

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GmGnSleeper

· 2025-12-23 10:05

It's the same old story again, capital inflow = dump window, a common topic. Wait, does anyone really believe this? A billion dollars just thrown in to catch a falling knife retail investor? That being said, this wave of XRP is indeed strange, with such fierce buying, there's still no movement. We need to consider if there's something we haven't seen. Once the information gap is digested, there's no hope left, that's a hard truth. This wave really requires patience to watch; charging forward is simply not the way.

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BlockchainTalker

· 2025-12-22 12:51

actually, if we examine this through the lens of information asymmetry and game theory... the divergence between inflow data and price action is empirically the most honest signal the market's sending rn. TL;DR: everyone knows the ETF story already, so it's priced in. the real catalyst? still hiding somewhere nobody's looking.

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CoffeeOnChain

· 2025-12-22 12:50

It's the same routine again, Large Investors dump, retail investors catch a falling knife, it's always the same playbook. --- A billion dollars flowing in still can't pump the price, what does that mean? It means no one believes in this thing at all. --- I just want to know, how long do we have to wait this time to see a real surprise, or is it destined to be another false start? --- Linear thinking is too profound for me, I just want to ask if I should enter a position now or continue to watch. --- The logic in this article is sound, but it sounds like making excuses for not making money, haha. --- Capital inflow = dump window, this trick is really amazing, I think I finally understand how to play this game in the crypto world. --- Wait a minute, so the ETF approval is not actually favourable information? Was my previous judgment completely wrong? --- Cognition and patience are easy to say, but the real difficulty is being able to hold steady and not panic during a big dump.

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AllInAlice

· 2025-12-22 12:50

Isn't this the classic Accumulation dump cycle? Institutions are playing people for suckers' hopes.

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JustHodlIt

· 2025-12-22 12:48

The 1 billion influx price remains unchanged, this is the real signal, don’t be fooled by the surface. --- You’re right, the perspective of the dump window is brilliant, I never thought of it this way before. --- Again and again it's wait and see? I’m really waiting until I’m numb, still have to wait until the monkey year and horse month. --- Institutional influx = Large Investors dumping, I love this logic, finally someone dares to speak the truth. --- The key is still the information gap being digested, Consensus = no Favourable Information, this sentence is heart-wrenching. --- How much comes in through compliance channels, possibly just as much goes out secretly, too ruthless. --- So what should I do now that I hold XRP, stop loss or continue to hold on? --- Before breaking the technical level of 2.5, no matter how much favourable information you see, it’s all in vain. --- A typical trap of capital flow, it looks full of favourable information but actually has hidden currents. --- Those who truly make money never chase consensus, that's what this is about.

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CryptoTherapist

· 2025-12-22 12:43

ngl this hits different... A billion dollars flowing in but can't push the price? Is this testing our mental resilience or is it a performance of collective delusion? It reminds me of those who said "just hodl and you will get rich"; where are they now...

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CryptoDouble-O-Seven

· 2025-12-22 12:36

1 billion dollars flowing in can't move the price, that's the scariest part... what does it indicate? The large investors have already run away. --- The ETF favourable information has also become a dumping tool, this market is really twisted, things that everyone knows have already become ineffective. --- So, don't be fooled by stories of "institutional investment", the key is to see if there's something new that the market hasn't reacted to yet. --- What’s the mindset of the friends betting on XRP now... 1 billion dollars coming in can't pump the price, how awkward is that? --- The moment the information disparity disappears, favourable information turns into unfavourable information, this is probably the truest portrayal of the crypto world. --- Be patient and observe, don’t rush, the real opportunities to make money are indeed hidden in the cracks, not in the obvious things.

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