There's a pretty heartbreaking piece of data. Historically, if you bought a major index at a forward P/E ratio of 22-23 times, you basically shouldn't expect any ideal returns in the following 10 years—Annual Percentage Rate is basically on the ground, and sometimes it's even negative.
What does this indicate? It indicates that at this valuation height, the long-term odds are actually just this way. The expected value is really not good.
But here it is important to clarify a common misconception: saying that the long-term odds are poor does not equate to denying short-term market f

Newbies frequently get liquidated, while Crypto Veterans enjoy stable profits—the key difference is actually just one: discipline.
I have been engaged in digital asset trading for many years, and my greatest gain is not some trading secret, but a set of "methodologies to restrain myself at critical moments". Today, I will organize and share my experiences.
**The first step is to see the right direction**
Many people focus only on daily trends when doing short-term trading, but this is not complete. The daily chart establishes the big direction, while the 30-minute chart determines the specific

#以太坊行情解读 The recent market for Ethereum has almost used up my Holdings. The price Fluctuation of ETH lately has been quite dramatic, and I need to seize the opportunity. It seems I need to reorganize my Position and wait for the next wave of opportunities to act. Is anyone else following the subsequent trends of Ethereum?

#数字资产市场洞察 **Large short positions emerge, market divergence intensifies**
On-chain data shows that a giant whale has recently poured over $110 million into shorting $BTC and $ETH, and has established new short positions in $SOL. This move sends a strong signal: institutional-level "smart money" is positioning and hedging for a potential downturn.
From the perspective of market speculation, such large-scale shorting often represents the pessimistic expectations of certain experienced participants regarding the short-term trend. It signifies that the market is at a critical divergence point - th

The global financial market is undergoing an invisible transformation. Japanese housewives, who control $15 trillion in household assets, have now become a key force influencing BTC, ETH, and even global asset allocation.
The core logic of this matter is very clear: over the past decade or so, Japanese households have adopted a seemingly perfect arbitrage model - borrowing yen at nearly zero interest rates, converting it into dollars, and investing in U.S. stocks and bonds to earn exchange rate and interest rate differentials. Even Buffett has praised this strategy.
But now the situation has r

#大户持仓动态 has been verified once again. Bitcoin has surged directly by 2000 points, with the data right here. If you want to get a piece of the action in the next round of market, now is the time to start positioning and seize the time window. Procrastination often leads to missed opportunities. Focus on these directions: $BTC $UNI $ASR, each has its own highlights.

#大户持仓动态 Yesterday, the Whale Address's net inflow exceeded 10,000 pieces in a single day, which is not common in recent times. Looking back at the data, the last similar occurrence of a daily purchase exceeding 10,000 was on September 27th, with a net inflow of 10,098 pieces. This signal is quite clear — large funds are not just testing the waters; they are openly building a position.
Since the whales have already revealed their cards, our strategy is to wait for sufficient adjustments and find the right timing to intervene. Although it has now risen above the 89600 line, whether it can s

#数字资产市场洞察 Bitcoin Christmas cycle market has started, short positions in the futures market are accelerating Close Position.
Whenever the market is in confusion, there are always some who can find direction amidst the chaos. Recent data signals are very clear—short positions are rapidly shrinking, which is a signal of the gathering strength of the bulls.
From a technical perspective, the wave of short positions closing in BTC futures is pushing prices higher. This situation typically occurs during seasonal market windows (such as the Christmas-New Year cycle at the end of the year), where ins

Many people enter the crypto world wanting to go all in, only to end up broke. But it doesn't have to be this way.
Seven years ago, I guided a complete novice, who was so nervous that his hands were shaking, with only 1500U as starting capital. Three months later, the account grew to 28,000. Now it stabilizes above 56,000, and throughout the whole process, there was not a single liquidation. This is not luck, but a systematic approach.
The core rule of the crypto world is simple: you need to stay alive to have a chance to make money. Those who go all in don't live to see the day of har

Do you also want to experience deploying smart contracts, but feel that the threshold is too high and the cost is too expensive? There’s a new idea you can try - with just a few clicks of the mouse, you can deploy contracts on your favorite blockchain network without needing to delve into the underlying knowledge of blockchain, and the costs can be kept to a minimum.
What are the benefits of doing this? It allows those who are truly interested in the on-chain ecosystem not to be hindered by technology and costs. You can upgrade from basic trading interactions to deeper on-chain operations, whi

#数字资产市场洞察 k entered the market to reach the million level, there are really people who have achieved it.
I initially entered the market by exchanging 7000 for 1000U, but I didn't go all in. In the first round, I tested the waters with 200U, specifically focusing on those coins that had the steepest rises on the daily chart. I would quickly take profits as soon as I doubled my investment, and if my losses reached 50U, I would cut my position and exit.
After winning several times, the principal becomes thicker like a snowball. The real test is not making money, but whether you can force your

#以太坊行情解读 crypto world 6 years, from an initial capital of 40k to over 40 million - not relying on insider information, not betting on luck, but relying on a reproducible trading logic.
I am a 36-year-old trader from Fujian, and I have witnessed multiple cycles of bull and bear markets in this industry. Those seemingly ordinary operational rules were all earned through account losses and stop-loss orders.
**Quick rise and slow fall, no need to rush to leave the market**
When prices surge, many people's first reaction is to close their positions. However, if there is a slow pullback afterwa

Recently, the market has sparked another discussion. The founder of a well-known investment institution expressed his views on the prospects of Bitcoin in a public setting, directly pointing out many issues that people in the market tend to avoid.
His core point is quite striking: Bitcoin is unlikely to become a central bank reserve currency. The reasons are not complicated—too much volatility, regulatory systems are not yet perfect, and there is no sovereign credit to back it. In this big shot's view, BTC is at best an alternative asset in institutional portfolios. To shake the status of

#数字资产市场洞察 Recently, the trends of several coins such as $SOL, $XRP, and $ZEC have attracted attention. $SOL, as a representative of high-performance public chains, continues to expand its ecological applications. $XRP is making a strong push in payment liquidity scenarios. Meanwhile, $ZEC, as a typical Privacy Coin, is also seeing a resurgence in market enthusiasm. Does this wave of market activity signal a new round of momentum for multi-chain ecosystems? It is worth closely observing the subsequent Trading Volume and capital flow.

#数字资产市场洞察 The popularity of this round of Meme coins is not really a consensus struggle—put simply, it depends on whether you know a certain big shot. The performance differences of $BTC, $ETH, and $DOGE reflect the direct relationship between market heat and topic relevance. A single tweet from Musk can drive the entire coin price; this is a true portrayal of the current crypto market. As the wave of Meme coins arrives, the logic of getting on board is simple and straightforward: recognition equals value.

#BTC资金流动性 What does the crypto world rely on to make money?
To be honest, this is a history of self-redemption from "being cut" to "cutting others."
$BTC First stage: Luck phase (a must for newcomers)
The most common trick for beginners is like this: when others shout about a rise, you follow; when others say there is faith, you hoard.
If you catch a good market trend and your account balance doubles, you might feel on top of the world and really think you have it all figured out.
$ETH In simple terms: money earned by luck will eventually be ruthlessly returned to the market.
Second stage: S

In this round of market, the real opportunities to make money are actually concentrated in two zones - alpha concept and contract products. Don't be fooled by the hustle and bustle of the Secondary Market; in reality, the Money Effect has significantly declined.
In the current position allocation, I mainly focus on $AIXBT, $LPT, $WLD, and $SOL on CEX, while on DEX I pay attention to $CRED, $GIGGLE, and $BANK. From the performance perspective, alpha direction assets like $GUN, $LISA, and $RTX continue to strengthen, and it’s hard to see any signs of decline. However, the risks on the future

#数字资产市场洞察 $BTC $ETH $ZEC
The Federal Reserve's year-end "blood transfusion", $6.8 billion just arrived! In 10 days, a crazy release of $38 billion in liquidity, is this a regular operation or the prelude to a bull market?
What just happened - The Federal Reserve is set to inject 6.8 billion dollars into the market through repurchase agreements at 10 PM tonight. This marks a consecutive operation over the past ten days, with a cumulative scale approaching 38 billion dollars.
This approach is actually quite familiar. Every year at the end of the year, banking institutions face cash tightness

#数字资产市场洞察 Can you still make a profit in a volatile market? Just look at this set of data to understand - actual operations yielded over 90% profit, with a single transaction successfully landing at 741U.
Many people say that there are no opportunities in the cryptocurrency asset market, but in fact, they just haven't found the rhythm. Market fluctuations can actually present opportunities; the key is how to seize them. If you have a solid foundation in swing trading, risk management, and market timing, achieving stable returns in a volatile market is not difficult.
The crypto market is n

Cryptocurrency Trading seems profound, but there are actually only a few key points. Using the simplest methods and a few simple rules, I achieved a six-figure profit in just a few months. Today, I will share these insights with you.
**Identifying Signals of Market Makers Protecting the Market**
When the market crashes, you need to look at the coins you hold. If the market drops sharply but your coins only decline slightly, it's not just good luck—someone is accumulating. In this case, the market makers are supporting the price, indicating that they are optimistic about future performance.