#比特币价格预测 Bitcoin mining difficulty decline may seem like a bearish signal, but it actually serves as a sign. VanEck's data shows that since 2014, the probability of positive returns within 90 days after a drop in hash rate is 65%, compared to 54% when hash rate is increasing, indicating a clear difference. Over the past month, hash rate has fallen by 4%, the largest decline since April. In simple terms, weaker miners are exiting under financial pressure, leading to market self-cleaning.

Pompliano also shares the same logic: volatility has been compressed, and the foundation for the big rally since the beginning of the year still exists. After a short-term correction, the space for rebound is actually opening up. Many people still regret not reaching $250,000, but they overlook the 100% increase over the past two years and nearly 300% over three years.

What is the takeaway for us? The confidence in long-term holding comes from these fundamental signals. Short-term fluctuations are actually opportunities for deployment. The current market sentiment is gradually shifting from panic to rationality. Next, focus on the stability of mainstream coins and the interaction opportunities of new projects—participate when costs are low, and add positions after risks are fully released. This is the most efficient way to play.