Yuanbao123

#预测市场 Polymarket's recent moves are worth paying attention to. Moving from Polygon to their own L2 indicates that the team wants to take control, especially after the downtime incident in December that hit a nerve.
Let's organize the key information: First, the POLY L2 is a top priority, and progress will be rapid; second, they plan to cut third-party service providers and build their own infrastructure, which means system stability will be greatly improved; finally, the new 5-minute market feature is about to go live, and the interaction frequency in prediction markets will become more inten

#RWA实物资产代币化 Recently, I’ve seen quite a few discussions about RWA tokenization, and there’s a detail that especially savvy investors should pay attention to: the DTCC model and the direct ownership model are actually two completely different approaches. Never confuse them.
Let’s clarify the differences—The DTCC model optimizes equity record-keeping within the existing indirect holding system, tokenizing your rights against the broker. Essentially, it’s still a multi-layered intermediary structure; whereas the direct ownership model tokenizes stock ownership directly, registered on the issuer’

#比特币价格走势 After reviewing Bitcoin's performance data for 2025, I have to say that the underlying logic is much more interesting than just price comparisons.
The core issue isn't the coin itself, but energy allocation. Think about it—over the past decade, Bitcoin has monopolized energy conversion into digital scarcity assets through computational power, and this logic is unbeatable. But now? AI compute centers are competing for global electricity quotas, and the economic returns from training large models temporarily surpass the marginal gains from hash collisions—capital naturally flows to mor

#加密货币监管框架 The latest warning list published by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission includes two more platforms, "Kuying Kele" and "Globiance X/Globiance HK," both of which have been blacklisted for unlicensed operation. Investors have already reported difficulties in retrieving their assets. This serves as a wake-up call for us crypto enthusiasts—before participating in airdrops and interactions, verify the platform's credentials. Don't risk your assets on shady platforms just for a small reward.
The increasingly strict regulatory framework is actually a good thing, indicating tha

#美国宏观经济数据 The Federal Reserve's new voting member Harker's "hawkish" remarks just came out, which is an important signal for us yield farmers. What does the rate freeze until spring mean? In the short term, the dollar remains stable, indicating that stablecoin projects and cross-chain bridge interactions will stay hot.
Let me teach you how to use this macro background to optimize your yield farming strategy:
**Step 1**: Lock in new projects related to stablecoins. Under the expectation of high interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve, interactions within the USDC and USDT ecosystems w

#比特币价格预测 Bitcoin mining difficulty decline may seem like a bearish signal, but it actually serves as a sign. VanEck's data shows that since 2014, the probability of positive returns within 90 days after a drop in hash rate is 65%, compared to 54% when hash rate is increasing, indicating a clear difference. Over the past month, hash rate has fallen by 4%, the largest decline since April. In simple terms, weaker miners are exiting under financial pressure, leading to market self-cleaning.
Pompliano also shares the same logic: volatility has been compressed, and the foundation for the big rally

#永续合约市场动态 OKX Perpetual Contracts are taking new actions, with the DEGEN and CETUS contracts set to go offline on December 26. For those holding positions, this requires early planning.
Let's review the key information: the index average one hour before going offline is the final settlement price, so don't expect a last-minute pump to rescue the situation. More importantly, users with holdings exceeding $10,000 will be restricted from asset transfers for 30 minutes, which means if you want to close positions quickly or transfer funds, you should do so early.
The recommended approach is: if yo

#加密货币监管框架 I just finished reading a study from Cornell University about the relationship between stablecoins and banks, which reached a quite interesting conclusion — stablecoins are not here to "kill banks," but rather to push them to improve.
This reminds me that many people were worried about deposit outflows before, thinking that with stablecoins, why would anyone keep money in banks? But the data shows that large-scale deposit outflows simply haven't happened. Why? Because of the "stickiness" — mortgage payments, direct salary deposits, various account linkages. The convenience of this b

#BTC市场分析 Looking at the latest Polymarket data, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 again this year has dropped from 10% to 8%. This signal is worth considering. Conversely, the forecasted probability of $95,000 is at 25%, and the risk of falling below $80,000 has increased to 15%.
Market uncertainty is increasing, which is actually a reminder for the meme traders — don’t bet all your chips on a single price expectation. Instead of waiting passively for a specific price target, it’s better to focus on stable interactive meme farming. Platforms like Polymarket are high-frequency airdr

#稳定币市场发展 The circulation of the Euro stablecoin EURC has surpassed 300 million coins. What’s interesting behind this data is that stablecoins compliant with MiCA standards are becoming a new gateway for international interactions. What does this mean for us? The more mature the stablecoin ecosystem becomes, the more projects and interaction opportunities there will be.
Specifically, the growing demand for EURC indicates that the European market’s acceptance of compliant stablecoins is increasing. In the future, ecosystem applications around euro stablecoins, liquidity mining, governance airdr

#预测市场 Polymarket data is interesting— the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 again this year has dropped to only 10%, indicating that market sentiment is indeed shifting. But don’t rush to be pessimistic; there’s still a 32% chance at the $95,000 level, and that’s the key.
Prediction markets are essentially information aggregators, where participants’ real money votes are often more honest than public opinion. Current data reflects the prevailing market consensus, but consensus can change. Instead of obsessing over whether Bitcoin can reach $100,000, seize the current opportunity—many n

#比特币现货ETF The wave of spot ETF sell-offs has weakened medium-term liquidity, and this is indeed not the optimal time to chase gains. The market has entered a complex consolidation phase, and it is likely to oscillate repeatedly for a period of time.
Instead of aggressively going long in such a highly uncertain market, it's better to shift your mindset—focus on airdrop interactions. Now is the golden period for low-risk gains, with new projects emerging constantly, and participation is lower when market sentiment is subdued, resulting in less competition.
The recommended strategy adjustment at

#比特币价格表现 Seeing Galaxy Research Director's new forecast, I need to discuss with everyone the logic behind this wave of market movements. The target of $250,000 by the end of 2027 hinges on the continuous expansion of institutional access and the resonance of monetary easing expectations—simply put, Bitcoin is transforming from a speculative asset into a hedge asset.
What does this mean for retail traders? The cycle is lengthening, and project teams will have more urgent funding needs. Although predicting 2026 is difficult, it is a critical time window for the intensive launch of new projects—

#衍生品市场合约 Hyperliquid is back with new activity, launching a LIT contract supporting 3x leverage, which adds another interaction window for the derivatives track.
What does the launch of a new contract usually mean? Interaction opportunities. Projects like this generally track on-chain activity, including contract trading volume, open positions, and liquidation cases, which may be incorporated into future airdrop scoring systems. Especially when a new token just starts trading, participation tends to be low, making interaction data more valuable at this stage.
However, be aware before particip

#比特币价格走势 Seeing James Wynn's latest moves, from closing short positions to over 40x leverage long positions, this operation is quite instructive. The short-term bullish logic targeting $97,000 is worth paying attention to, although his previous bearish predictions were somewhat exaggerated, his recent position adjustment remains cautious — the liquidation price is at $87,111, providing plenty of buffer space.
For us, the key is not to be led astray by the emotions of big influencers. For a Bitcoin level of volatility, casual traders should focus on new project interactions, which are the lowe

#美联储政策 Seeing this wave of market expectations, we need to stay in sync. The Federal Reserve cutting interest rates + inflation easing + continuous rise in US stocks—what does this mean? Liquidity in the crypto space will become more abundant, and funding and airdrops for new projects will increase.
By 2026, inflation could drop to 0%, and UBS predicts US stocks could reach 7,700 points. Behind this is the trend of institutions and retail investors shifting towards high-yield assets—Web3 projects are definitely a key focus. So the next three months are especially critical; we must seize the p

#预测市场 The prediction market data on Polymarket looks very promising—Hasset's probability of becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair has surged to 61%, indicating that market bets are already quite clear. Trump may announce his candidacy in the first week of January, leaving a tight time window.
Such major policy expectations often trigger on-chain capital movements, especially in prediction and political-themed airdrop projects. It is recommended to focus on a few directions: first, prediction market platforms themselves may have interactive activities to ride the hot trend; second, follow de

#永续合约交易 Perpetual contracts are currently showing real profit potential, but they are also the most likely to get liquidated. The news reports that in the past 24 hours, the entire network experienced $195 million in liquidations. What does this number indicate—there are many market participants, but most are just losing money.
BTC is now stuck between 90,000 and 90,500. If it can't break through, you should consider reversing your position. My suggestion is to wait for a pullback to 88,000-87,500 before considering a long position, with a stop loss at 87,000 and a target of 90,500. Once it b

#美联储政策与货币政策 The recent move in US Treasury yields is quite interesting. Traders are heavily betting on the 10-year yield returning to 4%, with single-cycle options contracts costing $80 million, and open interest soaring to 1.71 million contracts. This indicates a shift in market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's future policy.
The key is to understand the underlying logic—when traders aggressively buy call options, it suggests they are betting that the expectation of rate cuts will be broken. For our Schrödinger's crypto enthusiasts, this presents an opportunity. Rising US Treasur

#预测市场 The latest data from the prediction market Kalshi shows that its inflation forecast accuracy is 40% higher than Wall Street's. What insights does this give to us crypto enthusiasts?
In simple terms, the "collective wisdom" of market traders is more reliable than that of individual economists. The logic behind this is straightforward—more participants and stronger incentives lead to better information aggregation, resulting in more accurate predictions.
For beginners, this offers an important tip: don't blindly follow authoritative voices. Instead, focus on platforms and interactions tha