Recently, a piece of news has attracted a lot of attention in the crypto circle—New York State Assembly Member Clyde Vanel has introduced the "Event Contract Regulatory Act," also known as the ORACLE Act, and this time it's serious.
In simple terms, this bill mainly aims to impose regulatory constraints on prediction markets. The most direct restriction is on sports events, where betting on individual games will be banned, but you can still bet on, for example, a team's season champion. But that's not the harshest part—the bill also calls for a halt on transactions related to sensitive topics such as political elections, death events, and natural disasters, effectively banning them.
For trading platforms, the pressure is also significant. The bill requires many market participants to implement user self-exclusion features, set trading time and amount limits to prevent reckless spending. Penalties for violations are hefty—high daily fines are set, discouraging any reckless behavior.
This reflects the increasingly clear attitude of regulatory authorities toward the development of prediction markets. As these markets grow in size and participation, the government will inevitably step in to regulate. For the industry, this is both a challenge and an opportunity—regulation often helps markets develop in a healthier way.
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0xSoulless
· 01-12 07:27
Another curse, the Americans just love this trick. Anyway, in the end, the retail investors get cut, and the platform makes easy money and pays fines.
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MEVHunterX
· 01-12 05:43
Coming back with this again? Political elections are banned, so what's the point of playing prediction markets?
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GasFeeSurvivor
· 01-10 21:38
Another bill to harvest the leeks, this time under the name ORACLE
Banning this and that every day, they just don't want us to make money
Banning the champion in a single game is okay, but political death and other measures are even more ridiculous, treating the prediction market like a casino
As for the fines... platforms must be crying and fainting in the bathroom
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pvt_key_collector
· 01-09 07:54
Here we go again, is this time really serious? Single-game betting is banned, but the season is still allowed. This logic is truly impeccable.
Now prediction market players have to tread carefully, as the political crackdown is directly shutting it down.
Daily fines—who the hell would dare to touch it?
Regulation is a good thing, but this level of intensity feels like they want to freeze this market alive.
This is what they call "healthy development," hilarious.
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SchrodingerWallet
· 01-09 07:52
Here comes the same old curse, this time it really seems like they mean business.
Banning political elections? Then what's the point of prediction markets? It's pointless.
The US really wants to control all the fun stuff, I'm truly impressed.
High fines are the killer move; platforms better behave this time.
Wait, can this bill really pass? Feels like another case of "big thunder, little rain."
Regulation is good, but don't kill innovation in the process, okay?
Bad news, but not the worst—prediction markets are just like this, players will still play as they should.
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WhaleWatcher
· 01-09 07:52
Here we go again. This time, Americans are serious about it—banning transactions related to political elections directly. How will this be handled?
Regulation inevitably means institutional entry. I'm optimistic about the reshaped landscape after this wave of reshuffling.
They banned individual matches but allowed season champions. This logic is really a bit absurd...
With this move by the US, will Europe and Asia follow suit? The prediction market might truly be entering the 2.0 era.
Honestly, with hefty fines in place, platforms will definitely raise entry barriers. The good days for retail investors might be coming to an end.
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TokenVelocityTrauma
· 01-09 07:50
Here comes the regulation to cut the leeks again; political elections no longer allow betting, what's the point anymore?
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MevTears
· 01-09 07:48
Another round of regulatory crackdown, predicting the market will cool down this time.
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BearMarketSurvivor
· 01-09 07:41
Here comes the regulatory stick to cut the leeks again, this time there's really no room for negotiation.
Once this ORACLE bill passes, the prediction market will be cut into eight segments, single-game betting will be directly banned, oh my, this is going to cause casualties.
Those old guys in the US just can't stand retail investors making money; regulating is just nonsense, it's clearly about taking back this piece of the cake.
With hefty fines in place, exchanges will really have to tighten their belts this time, and how good can the user experience possibly be?
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MemeKingNFT
· 01-09 07:36
Another curse spell, I saw this wave coming long ago... On-chain data shows regulatory expectations are soaring, and the bottoming phase has passed.
Recently, a piece of news has attracted a lot of attention in the crypto circle—New York State Assembly Member Clyde Vanel has introduced the "Event Contract Regulatory Act," also known as the ORACLE Act, and this time it's serious.
In simple terms, this bill mainly aims to impose regulatory constraints on prediction markets. The most direct restriction is on sports events, where betting on individual games will be banned, but you can still bet on, for example, a team's season champion. But that's not the harshest part—the bill also calls for a halt on transactions related to sensitive topics such as political elections, death events, and natural disasters, effectively banning them.
For trading platforms, the pressure is also significant. The bill requires many market participants to implement user self-exclusion features, set trading time and amount limits to prevent reckless spending. Penalties for violations are hefty—high daily fines are set, discouraging any reckless behavior.
This reflects the increasingly clear attitude of regulatory authorities toward the development of prediction markets. As these markets grow in size and participation, the government will inevitably step in to regulate. For the industry, this is both a challenge and an opportunity—regulation often helps markets develop in a healthier way.