#比特币价格与周期 Seeing this analysis by Banmu Xia, combined with the recent market fluctuations, I want to clarify the logic for everyone. There’s no need to be overly bearish in the next 1-2 months, but also avoid blindly bottom-fishing. This window period is actually the best time for observation.

Let me break down the key points for you: Bitcoin’s current volatility has been compressed to the extreme, indicating that the direction is about to be confirmed. An adjustment might only occur around March or April next year, which means the upcoming period will be relatively stable. ETF outflows are the main trigger for a sharp decline, but the probability is low, so there’s no need to worry too much.

For us “撸毛” (profit-taking) enthusiasts, this is actually a good signal. The market won’t fluctuate wildly, giving you plenty of time to interact with new projects and complete various profit-taking tasks without constantly watching the charts. My advice is to seize this 1-2 month window, actively engage with projects, claim airdrops properly, and only adjust your strategy once the trend becomes clearer.

Remember one thing: cycles are cycles, and rushing doesn’t help. Doing what needs to be done with minimal cost and solid effort is the right way to profit.