Based on the market data from December 23, 2025, the fundamentals of the Token and the characteristics of leveraged derivation, an analysis of the continuous fall potential of the underlying Tokens (TRUMP, OM, PUMP, ASTER) corresponding to TRUMP5S, OM3S, PUMP3S, ASTER3S in the figure is as follows:

1. TRUMP

- Fall Potential: ★★★★☆
- Bearish: Purely MEME attributes, no fundamental support, popularity relies on short-term public sentiment, and funds quickly withdraw after the tide of Trump-related narrative hype recedes; the leverage effect of the 5x short derivation (TRUMP5S) amplifies the

As of December 23, 2025, considering the four major dimensions of selling pressure, regulation, liquidity, and project risk, the following Tokens have a higher probability of short-term big dump, ranked by risk priority:

🔴 Extremely high risk (big dump probability >70%)

- PI (Pi Network): Core driver: class action + large-scale unlocking. It has fallen 14% in two weeks, with 182 million Tokens to be unlocked in 30 days, averaging a sell pressure of 6 million Tokens per day; the project team is facing a $10 million class action lawsuit, credit collapse, and very little rebound space.
- PUM

A quick reference list of 5 tokens with high big dump risk has been organized, sorted by risk from high to low (as of 2025-12-23 03:00, Jin10 data/mainstream market source).

Big dump risk token quick reference list

1. PI (Pi Coin)
- Key trigger point: falling below $0.20 accelerates the collapse; a rebound to $0.23 faces resistance and falls back.
- Stop loss reference: $0.19 (liquidate immediately if it breaks)
- Unlocking time: approximately 1.7 million tokens in December 2025; there will still be linear unlocking afterwards, with an average daily selling pressure of about 30,000 to 50,0

As of December 22, 2025, the short-term (1-2 weeks) bearish probability for TRUMP is high, the mid-term (1-3 months) is still mainly characterized by weak fluctuations, and the long-term (6-12 months) depends on policy expectations and the overall encryption market environment, currently lacking a clear strong bullish driver.

Core judgment and key basis

- Short-term bearish (probability about 80%): Current price about $5.14, 24-hour fall 1.85%; 4-hour MACD below the zero line, CMF slightly negative, RSI 40.67 neutral to bearish; key resistance at $5.96, support at $4.75-5.21, falling below

As of December 22, 2025, Bitcoin has a short-term bearish trend but is experiencing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. It is highly likely to continue fluctuating from the end of this year to the beginning of next year, with the core battle taking place in the range of $81,000 to $93,000. A directional breakout will need to wait for clarity in liquidity and policy expectations.

1. Quick Long/Short Judgment (as of December 22)

- Bullish Highlights: The US November CPI fell below expectations, raising the market's expectations for a Fed rate cut in January (approximately 28.8%), provi

As of 2025-12-22 06:00 (UTC+8), considering Gate (Gate exchange) liquidity, high pullback risk, and on-chain sentiment, the prioritized shorting candidates are SDEX, ASTER, TROLL (SOL). The following are the core basis and execution points (not investment advice).

1. Shorting Priority and Reasons

1. SDEX (SmarDex) — Extremely high risk
- Core driver: 24H increase of **+178.49%** (data as of December 17), attributed to pure speculative hype without substantial positive news, with significant selling pressure at high levels.
- Risk points: Insufficient liquidity can lead to pinning, profit-t

#BTC The main reason for the encryption fall of 3 tonight is that a big dump has been difficult to sustain for the past 3 months, with fluctuations being the main trend. A deep fall will only occur if key support is broken✅
(Tonight's real-time fall due to + the trend over the past 3 months directly gives the conclusion, no nonsense)

1. The core reasons for tonight's ( 12.21) encryption fall (4 points are all solid evidence at present)

1. Technical breakdown triggers sell-off: BTC loses the key support at 85569, short-term bulls stop-loss and exit, coupled with nearly 17,700 BTC en

Anticipating that the unfavourable information in the crypto market has run its course or that the positive information has peaked is fundamentally about cross-verifying four dimensions: price reactions, emotional extremes, capital behavior, and the pace of event realization, rather than relying on a single indicator. For specifics, please refer to the following practical methods:

1. Signal of Unfavourable Information being fully released

1. Price resilience + Unfavourable Information has landed and does not create new lows
When unfavourable information is released (such as interest rate h

As of December 21 at 18:00, the cryptocurrency market has shown short-term favourable information emerging over the past three days, but the overall sentiment remains cautious, with a pattern of initial suppression followed by a rise, primarily characterized by fluctuations and repairs.

1. Core Conclusion

- 12.18-19: Favourable Information is dominant. BTC dipped to 84418 USD, ETH fell below 3000 USD, and widespread liquidations occurred across the network, with the fear index entering "fear". The main reasons are the uncertainty before the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike and the li

The TRUMP Token has recently struggled to maintain a continuous rise, and it is more likely to experience a weak rebound with a sideways bearish trend, lacking strong drivers and volume support. Below are key judgments and trading references:

Core conclusion

- Short-term driving factors are insufficient: As a meme coin, the price is highly dependent on political hotspots and market sentiment, with no strong catalysts currently, and has weakened overall since December, with a decline of about 15.2% in the last 30 days, down nearly 92% from its historical peak.
​
- The technical aspect is we

#WLD As of December 21, 2025, 03:00 (UTC+8), combined with Jin10 data and related macro/market signals, the current crypto market shows a short-term neutral to slightly bullish trend (technical rebound + exhaustion of bearish momentum), and a medium-term bearish outlook (liquidity and confidence under pressure). The core is “weak recovery, strong risk”⚠️.
1. Jin10 Core Signal Overview
- Macro (slightly bullish): The Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points (a 30-year high), with the market already pricing in this move, forming a “bearish exhaustion” rebound; Federal Reserve offic

#BTC The 2026 crypto market will experience a period of initial decline followed by a rally, with an overall bullish trend✅
In the first half of the year, there will be fluctuations and a bottoming process; in the second half, positive catalysts will be concentrated and realized. It won't be a crazy bull run, but structural opportunities far outweigh risks.
✅Core positive factors (3 major certainties)
1. Post-halving residual effects: The 12-18 month bonus window following the 2024 Bitcoin halving covers 2026. Institutional spot ETFs (holding over $100 billion) are locking in positions to supp

Tonight's rally in the crypto market is unlikely to continue steadily and is more likely to experience high-level consolidation; according to Jin10 data, the recent overall sentiment is neutral to slightly bearish, with more downside momentum being sustained and upside mostly short-term corrections.
1. Will tonight's rally continue (as of December 20, 4:00 AM)
- Core judgment: Tonight's rally is highly likely to peak and then retreat or consolidate within a range, making a smooth one-way upward trend difficult to form.
- Key basis:
1. Technical analysis: BTC faces significant resistance at $88

As of 2025-12-19 05:00, based on Jintou data and core market signals, the overall crypto market is currently dominated by a bearish trend, with weakening macroeconomic positive expectations and increased short-term volatility.
1. Core Bearish Signals
- Macro Expectations Cooling: After the Federal Reserve's December rate cut, Powell's stance remains ambiguous, with multiple officials emphasizing policy restrictions. CME shows only a 24.4% chance of a rate cut in January next year, indicating a significant cooling of market easing expectations.
- Weak Institutional Funds: This month, net outflo

#BTC Based on the current market landscape, institutional reports, and industry dynamics, the future of the crypto market will exhibit a trend of short-term pressure adjustments, a gradual warming in the medium term as practical value is released, and a deep transformation towards institutionalization and practicality in the long term. The core characteristics and key variables at different stages are as follows:
1. Short-term (1 - 3 months): Likely to maintain a low-volatility, low-participation adjustment trend. The Bank of Japan is highly likely to raise interest rates in December, which h

As of December 17, 2025, the crypto market is experiencing short-term weakness (1-3 months), medium-term rebound (3-12 months), and long-term institutional slow bull market (1-3 years). The core drivers are macro liquidity, regulatory compliance, capital flows, and technical factors.
1. Short-term (1-3 months): Consolidation with bearish bias
- Core judgment: Year-end liquidity tightening + hawkish Federal Reserve expectations + ETF outflows, maintaining a weak consolidation, mainly driven by oversold rebounds and selling pressure.
- Key levels (BTC): Support at $81,000-$85,000, resistance at