HongtingTrader

I always feel like Iran is getting too involved. Is it just my impression, or am I wrong?

Everyone knows what Trump is afraid of—nothing more than high oil prices and the midterm elections. But the problem is that all situations are ultimately shaped by information that most people don't know. The question is, what is it that we don't know? Are the things we do know really that important?

Almost everyone is criticizing #Trump's Middle East plan.
As for Trump and #America, if they can't even dare to continue when they have the advantage, if they can't achieve strategic goals, then this country is finished and has no deterrent power.
They say they will eradicate evil completely, but half-heartedly give up halfway; no matter how strong the military is, it will be useless without deterrence.
What’s the use of powerful weapons? In the end, it’s still people who operate them. If their will is weak and they give up on strategic goals after some setbacks, then I truly agree that

Of course, these signals may be right or wrong, but if you try to differentiate them, it will increase the decision-making complexity and chain. The only way is to cut everything off, not look at or trust any signals, and rely solely on your own brain to generate signals and thinking logic.

Why say you shouldn't look at others' predictions or use others' signals? Because being wrong has no cost, and being right makes you famous. In this way, these predictions and signals are fundamentally worthless.

#IranWar #Gold #WTI #XAUUSD #Brent
If the US-Israel-Iran war continues to escalate, gold is likely to re-emerge as the top safe-haven asset.
This time, the geopolitical crisis has performed poorly, mainly because energy inflation expectations have been suppressed due to declining interest rate expectations.
The US dollar is relatively a better safe-haven tool because the decline in rate hike expectations and the increase in safe-haven demand are simultaneously satisfied.
Additionally, due to liquidity crunch caused by a sharp decline in global stock markets, this year's gold rally has been ou

The Impact of Middle East Conflict on Energy #Brent #WTI #IranWar
1. When storage facilities are full, production stops, and resuming capacity takes time.
2. Dubai has oil pipelines that can reach the Red Sea, but they only alleviate transportation disruptions, which is barely enough.
3. The Strait of Hormuz has already experienced substantial disruption. Even if Iran indicates that only US and Israeli-related ships are targeted, insurance companies are withdrawing coverage, and ships lack confidence, causing flow to be almost as bad as a complete cutoff.
4. The US is attempting to intervene i

After taking the medication, there may be side effects such as depression and suicidal tendencies. Its function is to suppress the arousal system, promote deep sleep, and prevent waking up in the middle of the night. I didn't pay attention to it before, but today I suddenly feel a deep, spreading sadness. I've been sitting on the stool for over two hours, the medication has already taken effect, and I don't want to sleep at all.

The opportunity for the establishment of a Kurdish state has emerged

Learning to ride a bicycle in childhood was an afternoon of repeated failures, until just before the sun dipped below the horizon, I suddenly mastered the skill after going down a hill, and have been able to maintain it all these years.
This is the emergence of human ability.
Energy, models, chips, and data form a system of continuous pressure, repeatedly operating and self-correcting in data centers. When scale and complexity surpass a threshold, large models are no longer just better fitters, but exhibit emergence, revealing capabilities that did not exist before.
Emergence may be one of the

Many young people lack maturity. For example, when they see a big shot, they always think about sucking up, which is not good. You're so young, you should openly say: Who the hell is he? One day, I will definitely be better than him.

Vibecoding is really addictive; I feel like a child playing with building blocks.

After starting work, I feel like I can breathe freely. For me, this is a form of meditation🧘.

Having too many things to care about is the way to not move forward.
I come from a rural background, and my family is very traditional.
My parents almost follow the same methods as the previous generation to run the household.
But there have been some changes, which is that during my growth, whenever I encounter something I think my parents are wrong about, I no longer repeat it in my own family.
The fate of rural families is either the parents win,
You live your life following their path,
Or you win, and go far away to live according to your own ideas.
If we consider that humans are destined

Life is like a dream. People always mistakenly believe they've gained in the previous scene, only to suffer the shock of losing in the next. Little do they realize that my attachment is just a mark on the boat of time, for no one can reverse the flow of the river of time. What it brings will also take it away. What I have lost also grants me gain. All conditioned phenomena are like dreams, illusions, bubbles, or shadows; like dew or lightning. They should be viewed as such.

Loving a person is the same as loving gold. If gold cannot bring wealth, it is just a useless piece of metal. Similarly, with a lover, a person who lacks value also becomes a beneficiary in the exchange of value, which will block the continuation of subsequent exchanges.

Love and indifference are both pastimes for bored people. A person's primary need is survival; survival requires value. Relationships are the interfaces through which value flows between different containers. Without value, it is the greatest original sin.